Flood Watch
Starts in 9 h 16 min
When
Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
Where
Portions of south central New Mexico and the Tularosa Basin, including Otero County. Far west Texas including El Paso and Hudspeth Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move through South-Central New Mexico and Far West Texas. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1" are likely with localized areas receiving 2-3" resulting in flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Otero Mesa; West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands; East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo; Southeast Tularosa Basin; Western El Paso County; Eastern/Central El Paso County; Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains; Salt Basin; Southern Hudspeth Highlands; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:25 AM MDT at KELP

Chaparral, NM weather

Sunny and 64°18°, storms ~4–10 PM (73%).

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the southeast. Gusts to 23 mph37 km/h around 6 PM
Dew point: 52°11°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 50Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.04 inHg1017 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.4 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 63°17° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 3 PM
Above 70°21° today by 11 AM
Rain and storms today 3 PM–midnight (70%, 1.8 in46 mm)
Below 70°21° tonight after 6 PM
Rain tomorrow night midnight–6 AM (40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)

This morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 72°22° · Rain 3–6 PM (60%)
TonightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Storms 6 PM–midnight (70%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 56°13° by 4 AM · Rain midnight–6 AM (40%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	87%	10%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	75%	1%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	68%	2%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	70°21°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	63%	6%	4
Sat 12p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°)	72°22°	20%, 0.12 in3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	59%	4%	6
Sat 1p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 78°26°)	74°23°	20%, 0.12 in3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	55%	14%	6
Sat 2p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°)	75°24°	20%, 0.12 in3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	54%	22%	6
Sat 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 81°27°)	74°23°	40%, 0.12 in3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph35 km/h	53%	35%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 81°27°)	73°23°	60%, 0.12 in3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	55%	31%	2
Sat 5p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 71°22° to 79°26°)	71°22°	60%, 0.12 in3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	59%	76%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	70%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	68%	73%	0
Sat 7p	Drizzle	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	70%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	75%	76%	0
Sat 8p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	70%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	84%	83%	0
Sat 9p	Thunderstorms	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	87%	52%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	50%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	47%	0
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	40%, 0.24 in6.1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	90%	74%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	93%	75%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	73%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	57%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	90%	39%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	64%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	51%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	72%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	58%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	77%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	84%	60%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	78%	65%	3
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	73%	64%	4
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	68%	38%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	70°21°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	61%	32%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	71°22°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	59%	27%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	72°22°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	53%	37%	5
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	72°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	53%	26%	4
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 70°21° to 76°24°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	53%	26%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	61%	24%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	73%	5%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	75%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	42%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	60°16°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	87%	46%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	59°15°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	68%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	59°15°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	87%	87%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	90%	93%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	92%	78%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	57°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	57%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	95%	66%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	79%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	89%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	57°14°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	95%	85%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  60% chance · 0.72 in18 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 63°17°
  70% chance · 1.4 in37 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between noon and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 77, with temperatures falling to around 71 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 10pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Southeast wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–81°27°
Low, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
71°22°–77°25°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 71°22°, low 52°11°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–75°24°
Low, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
52°11°–60°16°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 75°24°).
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 74°23°, low 53°12°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 60°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 71°21°
  30% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Wind
22 mph35 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 69°21°, low 56°13°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 55°13°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–62°17°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Wind
31 mph49 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 77°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 73°, low 54°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 52°.
Rest of week
Highs 64–75°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rio Grande at Canutillo

15 mi

Level: 0.5 ft

Reading from Sat 7:10 AM · NWS gauge page

Rio Grande at El Paso (Courchesne Bridge)

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:05 AM · NWS gauge page

Rio Grande below American Canal Diversion

20 mi

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 19 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Rio Grande near Mesilla

24 mi

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 140 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 7 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 4 min less
Golden hour: 5:49–6:38 PM; Morning 7:00–7:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:48 PM; Morning 6:51–7:00 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 64% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:20 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Chaparral. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,700 ft, 63 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch