Flood Watch
Ends in 20 h 1 min
When
From 6 AM MDT Saturday through late Saturday night.
Where
Portions of central, east central, north central, northeast, and southeast New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Central Highlands, Eastern Lincoln County, Estancia Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro Area, Sandia and Manzano Mountains including Edgewood and South Central Highlands. In east central New Mexico, De Baca County and Guadalupe County. In north central New Mexico, Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, Tusas Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northeast New Mexico, Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass and Northeast Highlands. In southeast New Mexico, Chaves County Plains and Southwest Chaves County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Showers and thunderstorms will redevelop early Saturday and expand in coverage though the afternoon. Rainfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour may cause flash flooding on already saturated soils. Arroyos, small streams and channels may quickly rise with water from heavy rainfall. Repeated rounds of storms will increase the risk for flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/abq/EmergencyPrepFlood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Areas: Far Northwest Highlands; Northwest Highlands; Tusas Mountains Including Chama; Jemez Mountains; Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass; Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Upper Rio Grande Valley; Espanola Valley; Santa Fe Metro Area; Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area; Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood; Estancia Valley; Central Highlands; South Central Highlands; Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass; Far Northeast Highlands; Northeast Highlands; Eastern San Miguel County; Guadalupe County; De Baca County; Chaves County Plains; Eastern Lincoln County; Southwest Chaves County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 8:53 AM MDT at KCQC

Estancia, NM weather

Rainy and 49°9°, storms ~10–2 AM (94%).

Forecasts agree

Now 49°9°

Rain · Feels like 46°8°

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south-southeast. Gusts to 30 mph49 km/h around 7 PM
Dew point: 49°9°; Comfortable
Humidity: 100%; Air 49°9°, dew point 49°9° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 1Low; High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.26 inHg1025 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (57°14° then, 55°13° now)

Good hours for

Rain and storms until tonight 3 AM (90%, 3.6 in91 mm)
High 63°17° today at 2 PM
Gusts to 30 mph48 km/h tonight 7–8 PM
Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h tonight 10–11 PM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM

This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Storms all morning (90%)
This afternoonNear 61°16° · Storms all afternoon (90%)
TonightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Storms 6 PM–3 AM (90%) · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 40°4° by 8 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Drizzle	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	90%, 0.13 in3.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	100%	80%	1
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	90%, 0.13 in3.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	87%	74%	2
Sat 11a	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	90%, 0.13 in3.3 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	79%	93%	4
Sat 12p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	76%	94%	5
Sat 1p	Drizzle	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	75%	91%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	71%	76%	5
Sat 3p	Thunderstorms	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	73%	90%	3
Sat 4p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	73%	90%	1
Sat 5p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	74%	64%	1
Sat 6p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	84%	91%	1
Sat 7p	Drizzle	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	93%	85%	0
Sat 8p	Rain	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	53°12°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	88%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	96%	85%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	99%	91%	0
Sat 11p	Drizzle	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	46°8°	90%, 0.25 in6.4 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	98%	96%	0
Sun 12a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	45°7°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	98%	95%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	45°7°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	98%	90%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	45°7°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	98%	88%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	98%	72%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	98%	85%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	97%	88%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	97%	91%	0
Sun 7a	Showers	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	97%	93%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	98%	86%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	48°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	98%	71%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	81%	75%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	70%	72%	4
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	61%	33%	5
Sun 1p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	55%	59%	6
Sun 2p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	52%	60%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	49%	55%	5
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	62°17°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	51%	20%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	53%	6%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	61%	44%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	51°11°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	79%	40%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	18%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	20%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	4%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	97%	6%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	20%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	24%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	28%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	42%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	67%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	36°2°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	57%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	35°2°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	51%	0
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	38°3°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	83%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)	40°4°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	95%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Storms 0.75 in19 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 59°15°
  90% chance · 0.39 in9.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 63°17°
  90% chance · 1.7 in43 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 53°12°
  90% chance · 1.5 in38 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 64°18°, low 34°1°. Storms 0.11 in2.8 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–48°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–43°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
33°1°–46°8°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
35°2°–47°8°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 68°20°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
33°1°–48°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 37°3°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–47°8°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 41°5°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
34°1°–47°8°
Wind
20 mph33 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 42°6°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
94% chance of rain, high 64°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 34°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 36°.
Rest of week
Highs 56–70°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 1 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:34 PM; Morning 7:01–7:52 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:44 PM; Morning 6:51–7:01 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 88% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Estancia. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,700 ft, 38 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch

Estancia, NM weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon