Flood Watch
Ends in 1 day 3 h
When
Through late Saturday night.
Where
A portion of south central New Mexico, including Sacramento Mountains.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks.
Additional details
Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move through the Sacramento Mountains between this evening and late Saturday night. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1" are likely with localized areas receiving 2-3" resulting in flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet; Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet; East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 1:35 AM MDT at KALM

High Rolls, NM weather

Rainy and 59°15°, storms ~11–2 AM (87%).

One forecast only

Now 59°15°

Rain

Wind: 14 mph23 km/h; From the south. 1219–14 mph23 km/h through 2 PM
Dew point: 57°14°; A little sticky · down to 46°8° by 3 AM (comfortable)
Humidity: 94%; Air 59°15°, dew point 57°14° · fog or dew likely

Next 48 hours

14°8° cooler than this time yesterday (73°23° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

Storms until 7 AM (40%, 0.29 in7.4 mm)
Dry break today 7–10 AM
Storms today 10 AM–tonight 4 AM (90%, 2 in50 mm)
Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
Storms tomorrow night from midnight (40%)

TonightNear 51°11° · Storms all night (30%)
This morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Storms 6–7 AM (40%)
This afternoonNear 62°17° · Storms all afternoon (70%)
TonightDown to 48°9° by 4 AM · Storms 6 PM–4 AM (90%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · rain chance 20%
Tomorrow afternoonNear 59°15° · rain chance 30%
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by midnight · Storms midnight–2 AM (40%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2a	Thunderstorms	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	30%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S	83%	—	—
Sat 3a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from SSE	86%	—	—
Sat 4a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	45°7°	10%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from SSE	86%	—	—
Sat 5a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	45°7°	30%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from SE	86%	—	—
Sat 6a	Thunderstorms	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	44°7°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	89%	—	—
Sat 7a	Thunderstorms	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	44°7°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	89%	—	—
Sat 8a	Thunderstorms	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SE	83%	—	—
Sat 9a	Showers	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE	77%	—	—
Sat 10a	Showers	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE	72%	—	—
Sat 11a	Showers	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	67%	—	—
Sat 12p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S	65%	—	—
Sat 1p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S	62%	—	—
Sat 2p	Thunderstorms	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S	60%	—	—
Sat 3p	Thunderstorms	64°18° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from S	60%	—	—
Sat 4p	Thunderstorms	64°18° (likely 54°12° to 64°18°)	64°18°	70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	60%	—	—
Sat 5p	Thunderstorms	62°17° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	62%	—	—
Sat 6p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	80%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE	67%	—	—
Sat 7p	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	90%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	14 mph23 km/h from SE	74%	—	—
Sat 8p	Thunderstorms	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	80%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	77%	—	—
Sat 9p	Thunderstorms	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	90%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SSE	80%	—	—
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	90%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE	83%	—	—
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	80%, 0.2 in5.1 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSE	86%	—	—
Sun 12a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	89%	—	—
Sun 1a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	46°8°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	89%	—	—
Sun 2a	Thunderstorms	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	40%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	89%	—	—
Sun 3a	Showers	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	20%, 0.08 in2 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	89%	—	—
Sun 4a	Showers	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	20%, 0.08 in2 mm	9 mph14 km/h from S	93%	—	—
Sun 5a	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	44°7°	10%, 0.08 in2 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S	89%	—	—
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	44°7°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S	93%	—	—
Sun 7a	Mostly cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S	93%	—	—
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	46°8°	5%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S	83%	—	—
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S	80%	—	—
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 54°12°)	54°12°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SSW	74%	—	—
Sun 11a	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 56°13°)	56°13°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW	69%	—	—
Sun 12p	Thunderstorms	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SW	67%	—	—
Sun 1p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW	64%	—	—
Sun 2p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW	60%	—	—
Sun 3p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from SSW	60%	—	—
Sun 4p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SSW	62%	—	—
Sun 5p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SSW	62%	—	—
Sun 6p	Thunderstorms	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SSW	72%	—	—
Sun 7p	Thunderstorms	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 53°12°)	53°12°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S	74%	—	—
Sun 8p	Thunderstorms	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 51°11°)	51°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S	77%	—	—
Sun 9p	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 50°10°)	47°8°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SSE	80%	—	—
Sun 10p	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 50°10°)	47°8°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SSE	80%	—	—
Sun 11p	Thunderstorms	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 49°9°)	47°8°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE	80%	—	—
Mon 12a	Thunderstorms	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 48°9°)	46°8°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE	83%	—	—
Mon 1a	Thunderstorms	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 48°9°)	46°8°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE	83%	—	—

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 64°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Storms 0.43 in11 mm, 70% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 51°11°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 64°18°
  70% chance · 0.42 in11 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 54°12°
  90% chance · 1.2 in30 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.48 in12 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 7am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. South southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3am and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. South southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
48°9°–49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 60°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 64°18° / 39°4°. Storms 0.2 in5.1 mm, 30% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 49°9°
  20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. South southwest wind 6 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. South southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
45°7°–46°8°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 39°4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 55°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
55°13°–56°13°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 38°3°. Dry. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. South southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. South wind around 5 mph.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
56°13°–57°14°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 58°14°, low 42°6°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Dry. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
58°14°–59°15°
Low, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 56°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 62°17° / 38°3°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 60% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
55°13°–56°13°
Low, likely
42°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 52°11°, low 44°7°. Typical 62°17° / 37°3°. Rain 0.41 in10 mm, 60% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
52°11°
Low, likely
44°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
72% chance of rain, high 64°, low 49°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 45°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 55°, low 41°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 52–58°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tularosa Creek near Bent

16 mi

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 14 cfs

Reading from Sat 12 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 22Typical 102

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 2
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 57°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Mountain Park · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1894–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
+3°+1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+8°+4°WedOct 21
+14°+8°ThuOct 22
+10°+6°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

High Rolls weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 5 min; Losing 1 min 52 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 6 min less
Golden hour: 5:45–6:35 PM; Morning 6:59–7:48 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:44 PM; Morning 6:49–6:59 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from High Rolls. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,400 ft, 3 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch