Rio Penasco 2 miles NW of Dayton
19 mi- Level
- 0.2 ft
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 8:15 AM MDT at KATS
Sunny and 61°16°, storms ~12 PM–2 AM (95%).
Today: low 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°), high 70°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°).
Now 61°16°
Sunny
Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Thunderstorms | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 96% | 90% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 84% | 90% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Thunderstorms | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 78% | 86% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 65°18° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 75% | 89% | 4 |
| Sat 12p | Thunderstorms | 67°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°) | 67°19° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 68% | 77% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Thunderstorms | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 65% | 85% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Thunderstorms | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°) | 68°20° | 50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 65% | 85% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 69°21° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°) | 69°21° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 66% | 53% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Drizzle | 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 68°20° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 68% | 91% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Drizzle | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 67°19° | 80%, 0.21 in5.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 70% | 86% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Heavy rain | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 100%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 78% | 87% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Thunderstorms | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 100%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 87% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Heavy rain | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 100%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 93% | 99% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Rain | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Thunderstorms | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 80%, 0.54 in14 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Drizzle | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Drizzle | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Thunderstorms | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 70%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Thunderstorms | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 20%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 96% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Fog | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Fog | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.17 in4.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 100% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Thunderstorms | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Fog | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Fog | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 90% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Fog | 63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 87% | 97% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 81% | 90% | 1 |
| Sun 12p | Rain | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 81% | 90% | 2 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 78% | 88% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Partly sunny | 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°) | 66°19° | 40%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 75% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°) | 66°19° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 75% | 76% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 67°19° (likely 64°18° to 71°22°) | 67°19° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 73% | 71% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°) | 65°18° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 78% | 67% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 63°17° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 81% | 67% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 90% | 84% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 96% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 58°14° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 100% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 60%, 0.04 in1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Thunderstorms | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Fog | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 96% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Heavy rain | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 80%, 0.02 in0.5 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 98% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 100% | 99% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 100% | 95% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
80% chance · 1.3 in32 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
100% chance · 3.2 in82 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
70% chance · 1 in26 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
60% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
80% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.12 in2.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
76% chance of rain, high 70°, low 55°.
56% chance of rain, high 67°, low 54°, cooling off.
57% chance of rain, high 65°, low 52°.
Mostly dry, highs 64–73°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MAF) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 79% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 59°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.
Hope weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:10 AM, sunset 6:15 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 98% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing