Flood Watch
Ends in 15 h 28 min
When
Through late tonight.
Where
Portions of central, east central, north central, northeast, and southeast New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Central Highlands, Eastern Lincoln County, Estancia Valley, Middle Rio Grande Valley including the Albuquerque Metro Area, Sandia and Manzano Mountains including Edgewood, South Central Highlands and South Central Mountains. In east central New Mexico, De Baca County and Guadalupe County. In north central New Mexico, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Espanola Valley, Far Northwest Highlands, Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass, Jemez Mountains, Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Northwest Highlands, Santa Fe Metro Area, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains, Tusas Mountains Including Chama and Upper Rio Grande Valley. In northeast New Mexico, Eastern San Miguel County, Far Northeast Highlands, Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass and Northeast Highlands. In southeast New Mexico, Chaves County Plains and Southwest Chaves County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Showers and thunderstorms will expand in coverage though the afternoon. Rainfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour may cause flash flooding on already saturated soils. Arroyos, small streams and channels may quickly rise with water from heavy rainfall. Repeated rounds of storms will increase the risk for flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Areas: Far Northwest Highlands; Northwest Highlands; Tusas Mountains Including Chama; Jemez Mountains; Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass; Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains; East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains; Upper Rio Grande Valley; Espanola Valley; Santa Fe Metro Area; Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area; Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood; Estancia Valley; Central Highlands; South Central Highlands; South Central Mountains; Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass; Far Northeast Highlands; Northeast Highlands; Eastern San Miguel County; Guadalupe County; De Baca County; Chaves County Plains; Eastern Lincoln County; Southwest Chaves County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:15 PM MDT at KSAF

La Bajada, NM weather

Windy and 57°14°, storms ~3 PM–8 AM (92%).

One forecast only

Now 57°14°

Windy

Wind: 21 mph33 km/hgusts 27 mph43 km/h; From the east-southeast. 1524–25 mph40 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 52°11°; Comfortable
Air quality: 31Good; Main pollutant: Ozone

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Storms until tomorrow 6 PM (100%, 3.9 in100 mm)
Low 50°10° tomorrow at 8 AM

This afternoonNear 63°17° · Storms all afternoon (100%)
TonightDown to 52°11° by 5 AM · Storms all night (90%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Storms all morning (50%)
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Storms all afternoon (60%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 5 AM · rain chance 30%
Monday morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	100%, 0.31 in7.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	70%	—	—
Sat 3p	Thunderstorms	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	80%, 0.31 in7.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	72%	—	—
Sat 4p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	80%, 0.31 in7.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	68%	—	—
Sat 5p	Thunderstorms	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	80%, 0.31 in7.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	70%	—	—
Sat 6p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from E	80%	—	—
Sat 7p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from E	84%	—	—
Sat 8p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	20 mph32 km/h from E	83%	—	—
Sat 9p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	79%	—	—
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	81%	—	—
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	81%	—	—
Sun 12a	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	80%, 0.08 in2 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	81%	—	—
Sun 1a	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	80%, 0.08 in2 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	83%	—	—
Sun 2a	Thunderstorms	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	80%, 0.08 in2 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	83%	—	—
Sun 3a	Thunderstorms	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	83%	—	—
Sun 4a	Thunderstorms	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	85%	—	—
Sun 5a	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	60%, 0.08 in2 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE	88%	—	—
Sun 6a	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE	90%	—	—
Sun 7a	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE	93%	—	—
Sun 8a	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 50°10°)	46°8°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE	99%	—	—
Sun 9a	Thunderstorms	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Sun 10a	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	85%	—	—
Sun 11a	Thunderstorms	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	76%	—	—
Sun 12p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S	69%	—	—
Sun 1p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW	63%	—	—
Sun 2p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW	60%	—	—
Sun 3p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW	56%	—	—
Sun 4p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	63°17°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W	52%	—	—
Sun 5p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	60%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SW	53%	—	—
Sun 6p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S	59%	—	—
Sun 7p	Thunderstorms	57°14° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	57°14°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h	64%	—	—
Sun 8p	Thunderstorms	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h	70%	—	—
Sun 9p	Thunderstorms	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE	70%	—	—
Sun 10p	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h	72%	—	—
Sun 11p	Thunderstorms	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h	73%	—	—
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	76%	—	—
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	78%	—	—
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	49°9°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	77%	—	—
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	47°8°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	82%	—	—
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	46°8°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	83%	—	—
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	45°7°	5%	0 mph0 km/h	84%	—	—
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE	90%	—	—
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	87%	—	—
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	85%	—	—
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE	82%	—	—
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	73%	—	—
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	64%	—	—
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	55%	—	—
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h	50%	—	—

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 64°18° / 34°1°. Storms, 100% chance. One forecast only.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 63°17°
  100% chance · 1.2 in31 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 57°14°
  90% chance · 1.6 in41 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 52°11°
  80% chance · 0.48 in12 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
65°18°
Low, likely
49°9°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 34°1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 34°1°. Rain 0.44 in11 mm, 60% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 63°17°
  60% chance · 0.54 in14 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. East wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–44°7°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 63°17° / 34°1°. Dry. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 34°1°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 42°6°. Typical 63°17° / 33°1°. Dry. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–42°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 33°1°. Dry. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–43°6°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 33°1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 62°17° / 33°1°. Dry. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 33°1°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 61°16° / 32°0°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 50% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 32°0°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
96% chance of rain, high 65°, low 49°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 42°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 43°.
Rest of week
Highs 64–68°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rio Grande below Cochiti Dam

6.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.7 ft
Flow: 972 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 6 PM

Reading from Sat 12:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Rio Grande at Cochiti Dam

5.8 mi

Level: 5347 ft

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Galisteo Creek below Galisteo Dam

6.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Galisteo Creek at Galisteo Dam

6.8 mi

Level: 5480 ft

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 83% less heating than a typical week.

This week 20Typical 119

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 6
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 52°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Santa Fe County Municipal Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1941–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−3°−2°SunOct 18
+4°+2°MonOct 19
+6°+3°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+13°+7°ThuOct 22
+10°+5°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

La Bajada weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 14 min less
Golden hour: 5:43–6:34 PM; Morning 7:03–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:44 PM; Morning 6:53–7:03 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:39 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from La Bajada. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,500 ft, 32 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch