Tularosa Creek near Bent
12 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
- Flow
- 9 cfs
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Starts in 10 h 29 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Otero Mesa; West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands; East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo; Southeast Tularosa Basin; Western El Paso County; Eastern/Central El Paso County; Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains; Salt Basin; Southern Hudspeth Highlands; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 6:55 AM MDT at KALM
Partly cloudy and 59°15°, 8°4° warmer than a typical Oct 24, storms ~11–12 AM (88%).
Today: low 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°), high 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°).
Now 59°15°
Partly cloudy
Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7a | Partly sunny | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°) | 55°13° | 10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 93% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Partly sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 90% | 62% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Drizzle | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 81% | 51% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Partly sunny | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 73% | 45% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 73% | 61% | 4 |
| Sat 12p | Partly sunny | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 60%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 68% | 43% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 60%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 63% | 56% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Drizzle | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°) | 70°21° | 70%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 63% | 71% | 6 |
| Sat 3p | Showers | 69°21° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°) | 69°21° | 70%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 17 mph27 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 63% | 55% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 40%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 65% | 64% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly sunny | 67°19° (likely 62°17° to 71°22°) | 67°19° | 60%, 0.15 in3.8 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 68% | 60% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 69°21°) | 65°18° | 80%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 70% | 82% | 1 |
| Sat 7p | Drizzle | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 75% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Thunderstorms | 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 70%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 84% | 90% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Thunderstorms | 62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 78% | 92% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Thunderstorms | 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 90%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 84% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 50%, 0.28 in7.1 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 84% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Mostly clear | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 50%, 0.04 in1 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 83% | 46% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Thunderstorms | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 30%, 0.04 in1 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 87% | 51% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Thunderstorms | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.04 in1 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 90% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Mostly cloudy | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 10%, 0.04 in1 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 90% | 58% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly cloudy | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 10%, 0.04 in1 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 93% | 62% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 20%, 0.04 in1 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 96% | 68% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 54°12° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 96% | 64% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Mostly sunny | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 42% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 10% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 93% | 59% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 87% | 11% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Mostly sunny | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 62°17° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 78% | 27% | 3 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 20% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 75% | 67% | 4 |
| Sun 12p | Partly sunny | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 70% | 48% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Partly sunny | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 67°19° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 65% | 40% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 61% | 31% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°) | 67°19° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from SSW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 61% | 17% | 5 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°) | 67°19° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 61% | 27% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°) | 66°19° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h | 63% | 41% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 64°18° | 20% | 6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 67% | 11% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 75% | 11% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 75% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 72% | 61% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 75% | 38% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Partly cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 77% | 24% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 77% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Showers | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°) | 56°13° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 80% | 67% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°) | 55°13° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 83% | 54% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°) | 55°13° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 86% | 82% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 54°12° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 88% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°) | 53°12° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 90% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Showers | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°) | 53°12° | 20% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 89% | 75% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
70% chance · 0.9 in23 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 1.7 in43 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 4pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 67 in the afternoon. South wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and midnight, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 2am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 55 overnight. South southeast wind 3 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 3 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. East southeast wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. South southeast wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. South wind 2 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. South southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. South wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 72°22°).
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.12 in2.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
70% chance of rain, high 72°, low 51°.
Dry, high 68°, low 49°, cooling off.
Dry, high 68°, low 48°.
Highs 61–72°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 91% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).
Sun, 10:00 AM–11:00 AM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Today’s expected high is 8°4° warmer than typical.
On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
La Luz weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:15 AM, sunset 6:20 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 73% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing