Tularosa Creek near Bent
5.7 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
- Flow
- 9 cfs
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 21 h 16 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet; Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet; East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 7:55 AM MDT at KALM
Mostly cloudy and 57°14°, storms ~11–12 AM (93%).
Today: low 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°), high 61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°).
Now 57°14°
Mostly cloudy
None rain now, through the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Partly sunny | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 93% | 48% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 52°11° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 86% | 61% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 74% | 66% | 2 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 69% | 80% | 4 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 72% | 73% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 75% | 69% | 7 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h | 72% | 62% | 6 |
| Sat 3p | Showers | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph46 km/h | 72% | 35% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 56°13° | 50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h | 74% | 66% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Drizzle | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 50%, 0.1 in2.5 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 74% | 61% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 80%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 74% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Snow | 53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 83% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 70%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 93% | 80% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Rain | 51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 51°11° | 90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 89% | 77% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Rain | 51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 51°11° | 90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 89% | 97% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Thunderstorms | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 50%, 0.29 in7.4 mm | 12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 93% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 60%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 93% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 96% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 93% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 96% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 93% | 66% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Rain | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 96% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 93% | 87% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 93% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 96% | 41% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 48°9° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 89% | 33% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Mostly sunny | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 52°11° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 80% | 29% | 3 |
| Sun 11a | Mostly sunny | 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 69% | 31% | 4 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 20% | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h | 71% | 63% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Partly sunny | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 20% | 12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 69% | 45% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Partly sunny | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 10% | 13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 66% | 36% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 10% | 13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 64% | 31% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Partly sunny | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 10% | 10 mph16 km/h from SSW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 64% | 39% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 54°12° | 20% | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 66% | 29% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Partly cloudy | 53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 20% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 69% | 42% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Mostly clear | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 51°11° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 80% | 47% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 86% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 86% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 83% | 15% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Mostly clear | 47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 86% | 24% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 86% | 61% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Showers | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 89% | 52% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly clear | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 92% | 61% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 93% | 76% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 92% | 70% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 91% | 76% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 10% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 89% | 77% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Mostly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 10% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 88% | 76% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
80% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
90% chance · 1.7 in44 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before noon, then showers and thunderstorms between noon and 4pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South southeast wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7am and 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 54 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. South southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. South wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. South southwest wind 3 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
40% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
79% chance of rain, high 61°, low 46°.
Dry, high 58°, low 43°, cooling off.
Dry, high 58°, low 42°.
Highs 49–62°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 7:10 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 73% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.
Dry air outside (dew point 54°F).
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.
On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Mescalero weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:14 AM, sunset 6:19 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 82% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing