Flood Warning
Ends in 9 h 8 min
When
Until 130 PM MDT Saturday.
Where
Northwestern Valencia County in central New Mexico... Northeastern Cibola County in west central New Mexico...
This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused from excessive rainfall is expected.
Impacts
Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring.
Additional details
At 139 PM MDT, emergency management reported river flooding in Laguna due to strong runoff into the Rio San Jose. Flooding is already occurring.
Flooding is occurring along the Rio San Jose, reported just outside Laguna Pueblo along I-40.
Some locations that will experience flooding include... Grants, Laguna Pueblo, New Laguna, Cubero, Mesita, San Fidel, Skyline-Ganipa, McCartys, Paraje and Seama.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Areas: Cibola, NM; Valencia, NM
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 3:35 AM MDT at KAEG

Mesita, NM weather

Flood Warning. 51°10° and partly cloudy now.

Mostly agree

Now 51°10°

Partly cloudy

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the northeast. Gusts to 21 mph33 km/h around 4 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.09 inHg1019 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

None rain starting around 7:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° cooler than this time yesterday (53°12° then, 51°10° now)

Good hours for

Rain and storms until tonight midnight (90%, 1.3 in33 mm)
Low 48°9° today at 7 AM
Above 60°16° today by 11 AM
High 65°18° today at 2 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 7 PM

TonightNear 50°10° · Rain all night (50%)
This morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Storms all morning (90%)
This afternoonNear 63°17° · Storms all afternoon (70%)
TonightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Rain 6 PM–midnight (50%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · rain chance 10% · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 3 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	37%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	41%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	80%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	48%	0
Sat 7a	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	45°7°	80%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	75%	0
Sat 8a	Drizzle	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	80%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	94%	0
Sat 9a	Thunderstorms	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	98%	96%	1
Sat 10a	Thunderstorms	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	84%	96%	2
Sat 11a	Drizzle	60°16° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	60°16°	90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	76%	91%	4
Sat 12p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)	62°17°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	71%	94%	5
Sat 1p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	67%	93%	6
Sat 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 57°14° to 65°18°)	65°18°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	61%	58%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 57°14° to 65°18°)	65°18°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	59%	56%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	61%	49%	1
Sat 5p	Thunderstorms	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	63°17°	70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	63%	47%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	71%	26%	1
Sat 7p	Rain	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	74%	0
Sat 8p	Drizzle	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	84%	82%	0
Sat 9p	Mostly clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	85%	56%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	87%	59%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	90%	55%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	50°10°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	91%	54%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	49°9°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	57%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	94%	94%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	56%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	98%	81%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	97%	40%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	98%	35%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	42%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	98%	42%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	87%	30%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	73%	27%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	65%	20%	4
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	17%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	51%	23%	6
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	63°17°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	46%	16%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°)	64°18°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	42%	10%	5
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	63°17°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	44%	13%	3
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	62°17°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	46%	12%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	6%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	66%	4%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	51°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	73%	2%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	81%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 36°2° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	83%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 35°2° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 34°1° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	88%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 68°20° / 33°1°. Storms 0.52 in13 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Thunderstorms, 50°10°
  90% chance · 0.54 in14 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 65°18°
  70% chance · 0.6 in15 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 33°1°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 67°19° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 67°19° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
67°19° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 66°19° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
32°0°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 42°6°. Typical 66°19° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
34°1°–46°8°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 31°−1°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 66°19° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–50°10°
Typical high / low
66°19° / 31°−1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 65°18° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 30°−1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 65°18° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 30°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 64°18° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 41°5°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
33°1°–51°11°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Typical 64°18° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–64°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 29°−2°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
94% chance of rain, high 66°, low 47°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 39°.
Monday
Dry, high 64°, low 39°.
Rest of week
Highs 55–69°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 81% less heating than a typical week.

This week 21Typical 112

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 9
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 1 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Cubero · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1977–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Mesita weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 0 min; Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 12 min less
Golden hour: 5:48–6:39 PM; Morning 7:07–7:57 AM
Blue hour: 6:39–6:49 PM; Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 42% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:43 AM · rises 5:21 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Mesita. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,200 ft, 23 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Warning