Flood Watch
Ends in 1 day 1 h
When
Through late Saturday night.
Where
A portion of central New Mexico, including the following area, South Central Mountains.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris.
Additional details
Periods of light to moderate rainfall will continue overnight. Then, shower and thunderstorm activity will redevelop Saturday afternoon and persist through Saturday evening. Recent wildfire burn scars in Lincoln County remain vulnerable to abrupt runoff and flash flooding. While individual showers and thunderstorms will typically produce rainfall amounts of 0.25 to 0.75 inch, multiple rounds of storms will increase the risk of flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/abq/EmergencyPrepFlood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Areas: South Central Mountains
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 3:35 AM MDT at KSRR

Nogal, NM weather

Foggy and 51°10°, storms ~9–2 AM (94%).

Mostly agree

Now 51°10°

Fog

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the south-southeast. Gusts to 30 mph49 km/h around 1 PM
Visibility: 0.8 mi1.3 km; Fog · under 1 mi1.6 km
Dew point: 50°10°; Comfortable
Humidity: 99%; Air 51°10°, dew point 50°10° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.2 inHg1023 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (51°10° then, 51°10° now)

Good hours for

Rain and storms until tonight 3 AM (90%, 2.9 in74 mm)
Gusts to 30 mph48 km/h today 10 AM–2 PM
Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h today 5–7 PM
Rain tomorrow 6 AM–noon (30%, 0.12 in3 mm)
Fog tomorrow 7–8 AM

TonightNear 51°11° · Rain all night (30%)
This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (60%) · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h
This afternoonNear 59°15° · Rain all afternoon (90%) · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h
TonightDown to 48°9° by 4 AM · Storms 6 PM–3 AM (90%) · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (30%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 59°15° · rain chance 40% · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 3 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	93%	95%	0
Sat 5a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	46°8°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	93%	97%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	94%	95%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	44°7°	40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph31 km/h	96%	91%	0
Sat 8a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	45°7°	40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	100%	54%	0
Sat 9a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	98%	36%	1
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	93%	41%	2
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	60%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph43 km/h	86%	44%	4
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	90%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	82%	58%	6
Sat 1p	Showers	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	90%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 30 mph49 km/h	83%	83%	6
Sat 2p	Showers	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	61°16°	90%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	81%	80%	5
Sat 3p	Heavy rain	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	59°15°	70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	82%	81%	4
Sat 4p	Snow	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	59°15°	70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	82%	82%	2
Sat 5p	Drizzle	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	70%, 0.14 in3.6 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h	85%	77%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 28 mph44 km/h	95%	94%	1
Sat 7p	Rain	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	100%	93%	0
Sat 8p	Drizzle	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	46°8°	80%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	100%	92%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	45°7°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	100%	89%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	45°7°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	100%	82%	0
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	90%, 0.27 in6.9 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	100%	84%	0
Sun 12a	Fog	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	100%	87%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	96%	89%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	96%	69%	0
Sun 3a	Showers	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	95%	65%	0
Sun 4a	Showers	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	97%	61%	0
Sun 5a	Showers	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	97%	88%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	96%	91%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	95%	83%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	99%	78%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	97%	38%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	88%	23%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	79%	19%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	73%	24%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph41 km/h	69%	22%	6
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	66%	36%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	66%	18%	5
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	66%	22%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	40%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	70%	14%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	82%	8%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	49°9°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	92%	9%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	94%	12%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	97%	24%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	23%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	95%	16%	0
Mon 12a	Showers	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	95%	49%	0
Mon 1a	Showers	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	94%	49%	0
Mon 2a	Showers	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	46%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	93%	50%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Storms 0.87 in22 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.36 in9.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Heavy rain, 61°16°
  90% chance · 0.84 in21 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 51°11°
  90% chance · 1.6 in41 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
48°9°–51°11°
Wind
24 mph39 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 64°18°).
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  50% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Low, likely
43°6°–44°7°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 43°6°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–46°8°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 48 mph77 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
86% chance of rain, high 62°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
44% chance of rain, high 62°, low 43°.
Monday
Dry, high 62°, low 43°.
Rest of week
Highs 53–67°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rio Ruidoso at Hollywood

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:10 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 4 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 8 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:34 PM; Morning 6:59–7:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:43 PM; Morning 6:49–6:59 AM; first light 6:49 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 96% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:35 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Nogal. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,800 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch

Nogal, NM weather

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