Flood Watch
Starts in 11 h 40 min
When
Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
Where
Portions of south central New Mexico and the Tularosa Basin, including Otero County. Far west Texas including El Paso and Hudspeth Counties.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
Impacts
Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
Additional details
Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected to move through South-Central New Mexico and Far West Texas. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1" are likely with localized areas receiving 2-3" resulting in flash flooding.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Precautionary actions
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Areas: Otero Mesa; West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands; East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo; Southeast Tularosa Basin; Western El Paso County; Eastern/Central El Paso County; Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains; Salt Basin; Southern Hudspeth Highlands; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties; Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 5:55 AM MDT at KHMN

Orogrande, NM weather

Mostly cloudy and 58°14°, storms ~4–11 PM (85%).

Forecasts differ

Now 58°14°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 5 mph8 km/h; From the northeast. Gusts to 29 mph47 km/h around 5 PM
Dew point: 54°12°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–3 PM · peak 6

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

9°5° cooler than this time yesterday (68°20° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

Dry until noon
Above 60°16° today by 9 AM
Rain and storms today noon–2 AM (90%, 3.8 in96 mm)
Gusts to 29 mph47 km/h today 5–7 PM
Rain tomorrow night from midnight (50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)

This morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Clear
This afternoonNear 70°21° · Rain all afternoon (70%) · gusts to 29 mph47 km/h
TonightDown to 56°13° by 5 AM · Storms 6 PM–2 AM (90%) · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 68°20° · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 55°13° by 4 AM · Rain midnight–6 AM (50%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 6a	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	5%	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	51%	0
Sat 7a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	93%	27%	0
Sat 8a	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	5%	12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	90%	17%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	10%	12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	81%	4%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	67°19°	10%	13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	73%	19%	2
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	70°21°	10%	14 mph23 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph36 km/h	66%	25%	4
Sat 12p	Drizzle	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°)	71°22°	20%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	64%	59%	6
Sat 1p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 75°24°)	72°22°	20%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	61%	60%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 77°25°)	72°22°	30%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	59%	59%	6
Sat 3p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 77°25°)	72°22°	30%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	59%	63%	3
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 73°23°)	70°21°	50%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	63%	49%	2
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	68°20°	70%, 0.11 in2.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	68%	61%	0
Sat 6p	Rain	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	65°18°	80%, 0.51 in13 mm	13 mph21 km/h from ESE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h	75%	80%	0
Sat 7p	Heavy rain	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	80%, 0.51 in13 mm	13 mph21 km/h from E, gusts 24 mph38 km/h	84%	79%	0
Sat 8p	Thunderstorms	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	61°16°	90%, 0.51 in13 mm	12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	87%	96%	0
Sat 9p	Thunderstorms	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	90%, 0.51 in13 mm	10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	93%	52%	0
Sat 10p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	70%, 0.51 in13 mm	9 mph14 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	65%	0
Sat 11p	Thunderstorms	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	50%, 0.51 in13 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	58%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	93%	72%	0
Sun 1a	Thunderstorms	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	96%	65%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	10%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	100%	79%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	62%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	25%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	5%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	80%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	79%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	78%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	96%	52%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	87%	70%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	78%	60%	3
Sun 11a	Mostly cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	73%	48%	4
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	67°19°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	66%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	68°20°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	68%	54%	6
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	69°21°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	63%	41%	6
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	70°21°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	59%	43%	4
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	69°21°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	61%	24%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°)	68°20°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	19%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	66°19°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	22%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)	62°17°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	78%	27%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	84%	48%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°)	59°15°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	87%	46%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	59°15°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	87%	63%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	58°14°	40%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	90%	51%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 65°18°)	57°14°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	60%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 67°19°)	57°14°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	93%	72%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 67°19°)	57°14°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	95%	85%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 65°18°)	56°13°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	96%	94%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)	55°13°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	97%	92%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)	55°13°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	97%	87%	0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 53°12°. Rain 0.58 in15 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 72°22°
  70% chance · 0.66 in17 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 61°16°
  90% chance · 3.1 in78 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Thunderstorms, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between noon and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and midnight, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East southeast wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
71°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
53°12°–60°16°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 52°11°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 60°16°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. East southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. East southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–74°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–60°16°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. South southeast wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–74°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. South southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 74°23°).
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
48°9°–58°14°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 73°23°, low 52°11°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 60°15°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–58°14°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 54°12°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–70°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Wind
28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 75°, low 53°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 71°, low 52°, cooling off.
Monday
36% chance of rain, high 70°, low 50°.
Rest of week
Highs 64–74°; chance of precipitation on Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (EPZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 6 min; Losing 1 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 5 min less
Golden hour: 5:47–6:36 PM; Morning 6:59–7:48 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:46 PM; Morning 6:50–6:59 AM; first light 6:50 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:36 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Orogrande. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,700 ft, 34 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Flood Watch

Orogrande, NM weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Unknown

Moon