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1 active weather alert

  • Flood Watch

    Ends in 14 h 54 min

    When
    Through late tonight.
    Where
    Portions of central, east central, and northeast New Mexico, including the following areas, in central New Mexico, Upper Tularosa Valley. In east central New Mexico, Curry County, Quay County and Roosevelt County. In northeast New Mexico, Harding County and Union County.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.

    Impacts

    Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

    Additional details

    • Showers and thunderstorms will expand in coverage though the afternoon. Rainfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour may cause flash flooding on already saturated soils. Arroyos, small streams and channels may quickly rise with water from heavy rainfall. Repeated rounds of storms will increase the risk for flash flooding.
    • http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

    Precautionary actions

    You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

    Areas: Upper Tularosa Valley; Union County; Harding County; Quay County; Curry County; Roosevelt County

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:50 PM MDT at KTCC

San Jon, NM weather

Overcast and 66°19°, storms ~4 PM–5 AM (92%).

Today: low 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°), high 69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°).

Mostly agree

Now 66°19°

Cloudy

Wind
8 mph13 km/h
From the east-southeast. Gusts to 23 mph37 km/h around 5 PM
Dew point
56°13°
A little sticky
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 3–4 PM · peak 3
Pressure
30.14 inHg1021 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

Light rain now, through the next 2 hours.

  1. 12:00 AM: light rain
  2. 12:15 AM: light rain
  3. 12:30 AM: light rain
  4. 12:45 AM: light rain
  5. 1:00 AM: light rain
  6. 1:15 AM: light rain
  7. 1:30 AM: light rain
  8. 1:45 AM: light rain

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Rain and storms until Monday 6 AM (90%, 5.5 in139 mm)
  • Low 57°14° tomorrow at 7 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 68°20° · Rain all afternoon (50%)
  2. TonightDown to 59°15° by 4 AM · Storms all night (90%)
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 63°17° by 10 AM · Storms all morning (90%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Storms all afternoon (90%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 57°14° by 3 AM · Rain all night (80%)
  6. Monday morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
  7. Monday afternoonNear 66°19° · rain chance 30% · Cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 3pCloudy68°20° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)68°20°50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h67%94%1
Sat 4pPartly sunny68°20° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)68°20°50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h66%79%2
Sat 5pPartly sunny67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)67°19°50%, 0.05 in1.3 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h68%83%0
Sat 6pPartly cloudy64°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)64°18°40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h79%83%0
Sat 7pThunderstorms62°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)62°17°40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h90%88%0
Sat 8pThunderstorms61°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)61°16°40%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h94%99%0
Sat 9pThunderstorms61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)61°16°60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h94%93%0
Sat 10pCloudy60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)60°16°60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h95%99%0
Sat 11pCloudy60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)60°16°60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph22 km/h94%96%0
Sun 12aRain60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)60°16°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h92%99%0
Sun 1aDrizzle60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)60°16°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h95%99%0
Sun 2aDrizzle60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)60°16°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h95%99%0
Sun 3aRain60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h94%98%0
Sun 4aThunderstorms59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h94%96%0
Sun 5aCloudy59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)59°15°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h94%99%0
Sun 6aCloudy59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h93%94%0
Sun 7aCloudy57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)57°14°70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h93%100%0
Sun 8aCloudy59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°70%, 0.1 in2.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h94%100%0
Sun 9aThunderstorms61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)61°16°90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h95%89%0
Sun 10aCloudy63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)63°17°90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h89%96%0
Sun 11aCloudy62°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)62°17°90%, 0.1 in2.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h89%99%0
Sun 12pThunderstorms62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)62°17°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h88%98%1
Sun 1pThunderstorms63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)63°17°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h86%94%0
Sun 2pThunderstorms63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h85%99%1
Sun 3pThunderstorms63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h86%92%3
Sun 4pCloudy64°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)64°18°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h84%96%1
Sun 5pCloudy62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)62°17°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h87%95%0
Sun 6pCloudy61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)61°16°60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h95%94%0
Sun 7pDrizzle60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)60°16°60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h96%82%0
Sun 8pShowers59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)59°15°60%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h100%99%0
Sun 9pCloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)59°15°80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h99%93%0
Sun 10pDrizzle59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)59°15°80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h99%100%0
Sun 11pCloudy59°15° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)59°15°80%, 0.18 in4.6 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h98%92%0
Mon 12aPartly cloudy58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)58°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h98%85%0
Mon 1aCloudy58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)58°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h97%79%0
Mon 2aCloudy58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)58°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h97%83%0
Mon 3aDrizzle57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)57°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h100%95%0
Mon 4aCloudy57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)57°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h96%96%0
Mon 5aCloudy57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)57°14°80%, 0.1 in2.5 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h95%98%0
Mon 6aCloudy55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)55°13°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h100%100%0
Mon 7aCloudy57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)57°14°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h90%96%0
Mon 8aCloudy58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)58°14°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h90%98%0
Mon 9aCloudy60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)60°16°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h94%94%0
Mon 10aCloudy61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)61°16°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h87%92%1
Mon 11aCloudy63°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)63°17°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h79%86%1
Mon 12pCloudy65°18° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)65°18°30%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h71%94%3
Mon 1pCloudy66°19° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)66°19°30%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h68%83%3
Mon 2pCloudy67°19° (likely 64°18° to 72°22°)67°19°30%10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h65%83%2

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 69°21°, low 56°13°. Storms 0.3 in7.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 68°20°

      50% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Thunderstorms, 61°16°

      60% chance · 0.42 in11 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Thunderstorms, 59°15°

      90% chance · 1.3 in34 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Southeast wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    56°13°–60°16°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Thunderstorms. High 64°18°, low 54°12°. Storms 0.52 in13 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Thunderstorms, 59°15°

      90% chance · 0.6 in15 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Thunderstorms, 64°18°

      90% chance · 1.3 in34 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 59°15°

      80% chance · 1.1 in27 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      80% chance · 0.6 in15 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 64. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–59°15°
    Wind
    21 mph33 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Thunderstorms. High 68°20°, low 52°11°. Storms 0.14 in3.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 60°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    66°19°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Wind
    23 mph36 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 73°23°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 74°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 64°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 52.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Wind
    23 mph37 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 76°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 76.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    74°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Wind
    18 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 75°24°, low 53°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 58°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 75.

    Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    74°23°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–59°15°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 71°22°, low 51°11°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 70°21°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 57°14°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    69°21°–73°23°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–57°14°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 57°14°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 58°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    56°13°–57°14°
    Wind
    28 mph45 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    63°17°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–55°13°
    Wind
    27 mph44 km/h, gusts 44 mph70 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°10°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–54°12°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    5

The outlook

  1. Today

    45% chance of rain, high 69°, low 56°.

  2. Tomorrow

    92% chance of rain, high 64°, low 54°, cooling off.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 68°, low 52°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 65–76°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Revuelto Creek near Logan

16 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.4 ft
Flow
under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Canadian River at Ute Lake

18 mi
Level
3785 ft

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:07 AM, sunset 6:07 PM.

Daylight
11 h 0 min
Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 12 min less
Golden hour
5:32–6:23 PM
Morning 6:51–7:42 AM
Blue hour
6:23–6:33 PM
Morning 6:41–6:51 AM; first light 6:41 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 96% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:26 AM · rises 5:04 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking south from San Jon. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,200 ft, 20 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.