Flood Warning
Ends in 1 day 14 h
The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New Mexico
When
Until late Sunday night.
Where
San Juan River at Shiprock.
This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
Impacts
Catastrophic flooding of the San Juan River at and near Shiprock will continue today.
Additional details
At 4:00 AM MDT Saturday the stage was 21.2 feet.
Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 4:00 AM MDT Saturday was 21.2 feet.
Forecast...The river is expected to continue above flood stage through tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 23.0 feet this afternoon.
Flood stage is 15.5 feet.
Flood History...this is the highest river stage on record.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
San Juan River At Shiprock affecting San Juan County.
Precautionary actions
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/abq.
The next statement will be issued late tonight at midnight MDT.
Areas: San Juan, NM
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Flood Advisory
Ends in 23 h 41 min
The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Flood Advisory for the following rivers in New Mexico
When
From this morning to Sunday afternoon.
Where
San Juan River at Shiprock.
This place is inside the warning area · National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
Additional details
At 11:00 AM MDT Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet.
Bankfull stage is 13.5 feet.
Forecast...The river will fall to 12.0 feet this afternoon. It will then rise to 12.5 feet this evening. It will fall to 11.9 feet just after midnight tonight. It will then rise to 14.2 feet Saturday morning. It will fall again and remain below flood stage.
Action stage is 13.5 feet.
Flood stage is 15.5 feet.
http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
San Juan River At Shiprock affecting San Juan County.
Precautionary actions
If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternative route.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/abq.
The next statement will be issued Friday afternoon at noon MDT.
Areas: San Juan, NM
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 12:05 PM MDT at KFMN

Shiprock, NM weather

Flood Warning. 57°14° and mostly sunny now.

Forecasts agree

Now 57°14°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the east. 58–15 mph24 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 52°11°; Comfortable · down to 43°6° by 5 PM
UV index: 5Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM
Air quality: 26Good; Main pollutant: Ozone

Light rain starting around 6:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Rain and storms until midnight (70%, 0.18 in4.6 mm)
High 63°17° today at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonNear 59°15° · Storms all afternoon (70%)
TonightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Storms 6 PM–midnight (60%)
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 59°15° by 3 PM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	61%	72%	5
Sat 1p	Rain	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	57%	67%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	51%	22%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	53%	43%	4
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	60°16°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from E, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	58%	48%	3
Sat 5p	Thunderstorms	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	58°14°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	58%	73%	1
Sat 6p	Thunderstorms	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	60%	59%	0
Sat 7p	Drizzle	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	72%	65%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	47°8°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	81%	76%	0
Sat 9p	Thunderstorms	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	46°8°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	85%	85%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	88%	33%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	90%	80%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	43°6°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	93%	74%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	43°6°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	76%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	97%	77%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	80%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	40°4°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	84%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	10%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	96%	56%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	95%	56%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	39°4°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	95%	77%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	90%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	77%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	87%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	49°9°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	70%	81%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	59%	47%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	43%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	78%	5
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	83%	5
Sun 4p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	76%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	50%	62%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	50%	23%	1
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	46°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	68%	14%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	7%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	42°6°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	82%	4%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	39°4°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	5%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	98%	31%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	31%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	31%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	31%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 44°7°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	38%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 46°8°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	32%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 50°10°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	41%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 50°10°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	97%	44%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	44%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	29%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	70%	26%	3

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Thunderstorms. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Storms 0.23 in5.8 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Thunderstorms, 63°17°
  70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Thunderstorms, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–49°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 33°1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 10% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 60, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. North wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
33°1°–47°8°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 61°16°, low 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–46°8°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 60°16°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  50% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 47°8°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 42°6°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°9°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–59°15°
Low, likely
33°1°–50°10°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 53°12°, low 38°3°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 53°12°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–62°17°
Low, likely
25°−4°–48°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
69% chance of rain, high 65°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 33°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 61°, low 32°.
Rest of week
Highs 52–65°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ABQ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

San Juan River at Shiprock

1.2 mi

Major flooding

Level: 21.2 ft

Forecast peak 23.0 ft Sat 12 PM, major flooding

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

San Juan River at Four Corners

24 mi

Level: 13.7 ft
Flow: 17,800 cfs

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

La Plata River at Farmington

25 mi

Level: 7.0 ft
Flow: 485 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 56 min; Losing 2 min 16 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 17 min less
Golden hour: 5:50–6:42 PM; Morning 7:14–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 6:42–6:52 PM; Morning 7:04–7:14 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 70% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:24 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from Shiprock. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,800 ft, 31 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

2 active weather alerts

Flood Warning

Flood Advisory