Observed 12:15 PM EDT at KELZ

Alfred, NY weather

Sunny and 52°11°.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east-southeast. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 3 PM
Pressure: 30.41 inHg1030 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 55°13° today at 3 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
Low 32°0° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonUp to 55°13° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 34°1° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 60°16° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 12p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	62%	12%	3
Fri 1p	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	52%	17%	3
Fri 2p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	45%	31%	3
Fri 3p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	41%	66%	2
Fri 4p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	81%	1
Fri 5p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	80%	0
Fri 6p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	44%	81%	0
Fri 7p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	79%	0
Fri 8p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 43°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	62%	65%	0
Fri 9p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	63%	0
Fri 10p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	57%	0
Fri 11p	Mostly clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	62%	0
Sat 12a	Mostly clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	31%	0
Sat 1a	Mostly clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	43%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	18%	0
Sat 3a	Mostly clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	81%	11%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	31%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	84%	2%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	89%	2%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	85%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	67%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	57%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	47%	0%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	38%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	37%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	36%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	39%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	28°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	1%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	79%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	66%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	55%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Partly sunny. High 56°13°, low 32°0°. Typical 58°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
32°0°–36°2°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 34°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 33°1°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 60. South wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 33. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
30°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 40°4°. Typical 57°14° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
30°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 56°13° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. West wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 54°12°, low 33°1°. Typical 56°13° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 33°1°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 33°1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 55°13° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 33°1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 55°13° / 32°0°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–62°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 38°3°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–46°8°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–62°17°
Low, likely
31°−1°–50°10°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 56°, low 32°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 33°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 64°, low 40°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 50–65°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Genesee River at Wellsville

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 43 cfs

Forecast peak 4.4 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Canisteo River at West Cameron

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 48 cfs

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Canacadea Creek above Hornell

7.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 11 cfs

Reading from Fri 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Canacadea Creek at Almond Dam

8.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1257 ft

Reading from Fri 10 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 42Typical 141

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 31
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Angelica · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

+5°+3°SatOct 17
−11°−6°SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−3°−2°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Alfred weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 44 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour: 5:38–6:34 PM; Morning 7:15–8:12 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:45 PM; Morning 7:04–7:15 AM; first light 7:04 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 5–7:05 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 5:45 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

92% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:34 AM · rises 4:50 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Alfred.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Alfred, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Genesee River at Wellsville

Canisteo River at West Cameron

Canacadea Creek above Hornell

Canacadea Creek at Almond Dam

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon