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  • Frost Advisory

    Starts in 9 h 14 min

    When
    From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Sunday.
    Where
    In Connecticut, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern New Haven, and Southern New London Counties. In New York, Northeast Suffolk and Southeast Suffolk Counties.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Upton NY

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Temperatures in the mid 30s, and locally as low 25 to 30 in parts of the Pine Barrens of Long Island, will result in frost formation.

    Impacts

    Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

    Precautionary actions

    Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

    Areas: Southern Fairfield; Southern New Haven; Southern Middlesex; Southern New London; Northeast Suffolk; Southeast Suffolk

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:15 PM EDT at KFOK

Baiting Hollow, NY weather

Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Today: low 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°), high 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°).

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind
9 mph15 km/h
From the north-northwest. Up to 9 mph15 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point
38°3°
Comfortable
UV index
3Moderate
Moderate until 4 PM · peak 4
Air today
39Good
EPA forecast · PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.53 inHg1034 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • High 58°14° today at 5 PM
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
  • Low 39°4° tonight at 5 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 58°14° · Partly cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 4 PM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Clear
  6. Monday morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 2pSunny57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h49%43%4
Sat 3pPartly sunny57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h49%51%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h49%60%2
Sat 5pSunny58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)58°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h47%43%1
Sat 6pPartly cloudy56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph10 km/h49%65%0
Sat 7pMostly clear53°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h54%37%0
Sat 8pClear50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h61%14%0
Sat 9pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h68%3%0
Sat 10pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h71%2%0
Sat 11pClear45°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h73%3%0
Sun 12aClear44°7° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h76%5%0
Sun 1aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h79%7%0
Sun 2aClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)40°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h82%8%0
Sun 3aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)39°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h86%6%0
Sun 4aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%3%0
Sun 5aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)37°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h92%1%0
Sun 6aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h89%0%0
Sun 7aSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)39°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%0%0
Sun 8aSunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)40°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h86%0%0
Sun 9aSunny46°8° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h73%0%1
Sun 10aSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h68%0%2
Sun 11aSunny52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h63%0%3
Sun 12pSunny54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h59%0%4
Sun 1pSunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h53%0%4
Sun 2pSunny59°15° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h49%0%4
Sun 3pSunny60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h47%0%3
Sun 4pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h46%0%2
Sun 5pSunny60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h47%0%1
Sun 6pClear57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h55%0%0
Sun 7pClear53°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h66%0%0
Sun 8pClear49°9° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)47°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h80%0%0
Sun 9pClear48°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)46°8°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h80%0%0
Sun 10pClear47°8° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h83%0%0
Sun 11pClear47°8° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h83%0%0
Mon 12aClear47°8° (likely 43°6° to 53°12°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h83%0%0
Mon 1aClear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph23 km/h89%0%0
Mon 2aClear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h89%0%0
Mon 3aClear44°7° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph22 km/h96%0%0
Mon 4aClear43°6° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)39°4°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h96%0%0
Mon 5aClear43°6° (likely 39°4° to 50°10°)39°4°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h96%0%0
Mon 6aClear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)38°3°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%1%0
Mon 7aSunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)38°3°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h96%1%0
Mon 8aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)39°4°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h93%9%0
Mon 9aSunny48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)44°7°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h83%16%1
Mon 10aSunny51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)51°11°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h80%12%2
Mon 11aSunny54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)54°12°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h74%8%3
Mon 12pSunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)57°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h69%1%4
Mon 1pSunny59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)59°15°0%9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h64%2%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 38°3°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northwest wind around 3 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    57°14°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 40°4°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 41°5°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Clear. Low around 41, with temperatures rising to around 43 overnight. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. West wind around 9 mph.

    Night: Clear. Low around 49, with temperatures rising to around 51 overnight.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 45°7°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    56°13°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 39°4°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 48°9°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 38°3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    60°16°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 38°3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 53°12°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 38°3°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 38°3°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 55°13°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 60°16°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    58°14°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 37°3°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 60°16°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 62°17°

      30% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Showers, 66°19°

      20% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    57°14°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 37°3°
    Wind
    23 mph36 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 58°, low 38°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 61°, low 41°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 64°, low 49°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 56–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Peconic River at Riverhead (IN MLLW)

6.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.1 ft

Reading from Sat 1:54 PM · NWS gauge page

Moriches Bay at Moriches Bay (IN MLLW)

12 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.6 ft

Reading from Sat 1:48 PM · NWS gauge page

Shinnecock Bay at Ponquogue (IN MLLW)

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.2 ft

Reading from Sat 1:48 PM · NWS gauge page

Flax Pond at Old Field (IN MLLW)

21 mi
Below flood stage
Level
6.2 ft

Reading from Sat 1:24 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 111

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
24
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 8 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 38°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 3:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Westhampton Gabreski Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1951–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Forecast high / low
58°14° / 38°3°
Record high
72°22° in 2001
Record low
20°−7° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Baiting Hollow weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:12 AM, sunset 5:57 PM.

Daylight
10 h 45 min
Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 31 min less
Golden hour
5:19–6:14 PM
Morning 6:55–7:50 AM
Blue hour
6:14–6:25 PM
Morning 6:44–6:55 AM; first light 6:44 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 8 PM–6:45 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:23 AM · rises 4:53 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking north from Baiting Hollow. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,500 ft, 78 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.