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Observed 1:35 PM EDT at KELM

Big Flats, NY weather

Sunny and 57°14°, jacket by 6 PM.

Today: low 26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 37°3°), high 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°).

Mostly agree

Now 57°14°

Sunny

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the northeast. Light through 2 AM
Dew point
36°2°
Comfortable
UV index
3Moderate
Moderate until 3 PM · peak 4
Pressure
30.39 inHg1029 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.0 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Hard freeze tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 26°−3°)
  • Low 26°−3° tomorrow at 6 AM
  • Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • Hard freeze Sunday 4–9 AM (low 26°−3°)
  1. This afternoonNear 57°14° · Partly cloudy
  2. TonightDown to 28°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 3 PM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 30°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
  6. Sunday morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Fri 2pSunny57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h40%11%3
Fri 3pSunny57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h38%15%2
Fri 4pCloudy57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h38%65%1
Fri 5pCloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h40%80%0
Fri 6pCloudy53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)53°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h44%81%0
Fri 7pCloudy49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h54%79%0
Fri 8pCloudy46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h60%67%0
Fri 9pCloudy43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h67%73%0
Fri 10pCloudy40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h79%76%0
Fri 11pCloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h82%77%0
Sat 12aPartly cloudy37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h82%74%0
Sat 1aPartly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h85%63%0
Sat 2aPartly cloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h85%58%0
Sat 3aPartly cloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h89%58%0
Sat 4aPartly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h92%58%0
Sat 5aPartly cloudy28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 39°4°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h100%51%0
Sat 6aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 39°4°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h100%40%0
Sat 7aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 38°3°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h100%6%0
Sat 8aSunny29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)29°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h92%6%0
Sat 9aSunny34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h82%3%1
Sat 10aSunny41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)41°5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h67%0%2
Sat 11aSunny49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)49°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h54%0%3
Sat 12pSunny54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)54°12°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h45%0%3
Sat 1pSunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)58°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h39%0%4
Sat 2pSunny60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h36%0%4
Sat 3pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h33%0%3
Sat 4pSunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h35%0%2
Sat 5pSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h37%0%1
Sat 6pClear56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h43%0%0
Sat 7pClear52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h50%0%0
Sat 8pClear46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)46°8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h60%0%0
Sat 9pClear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)42°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h70%0%0
Sat 10pClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h76%0%0
Sat 11pClear38°3° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)38°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h79%0%0
Sun 12aClear36°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h85%8%0
Sun 1aClear35°2° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h85%9%0
Sun 2aClear34°1° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%10%0
Sun 3aClear33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 40°4°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h89%10%0
Sun 4aClear31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h96%12%0
Sun 5aClear30°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°)30°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%12%0
Sun 6aClear28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 37°3°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%12%0
Sun 7aClear26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 36°2°)26°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%12%0
Sun 8aSunny27°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 37°3°)27°−3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%12%0
Sun 9aMostly sunny34°1° (likely 28°−2° to 43°6°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h85%5%1
Sun 10aSunny43°6° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)43°6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h67%1%2
Sun 11aSunny52°11° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h54%0%3
Sun 12pSunny57°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)57°14°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h45%0%3
Sun 1pSunny61°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h36%0%4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 23. Partly sunny. High 58°14°, low 26°−3°. Typical 59°15° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 28°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    56°13°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 24. Fog. High 61°16°, low 26°−3°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 29°−2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Areas of fog between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 61. South wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Areas of fog after 4am. Clear, with a low around 26. Wind around 0 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Sunday, Oct 25. Fog. High 65°18°, low 33°1°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 27°−3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Areas of fog between 7am and 9am. Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    60°16°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    26°−3°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 36°2°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 67°19°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Sunny, with a high near 67.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 35°2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 27°−3°. Typical 57°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 35°2°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 35°2°. Typical 57°14° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    56°13°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 35°2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 56°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 64°18°).

    High, likely
    63°17°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 34°1°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 40°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    56°13°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 34°1°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  9. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 40°4°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 34°1°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Typical 55°13° / 33°1°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      20% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      30% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    55°13°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 33°1°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 58°, low 26°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 61°, low 26°, warming up.

  3. Sunday

    Dry, high 65°, low 33°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 55–67°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BGM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chemung River at Elmira

7.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.0 ft
Flow
263 cfs

Forecast peak 1.0 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Chemung River at Corning

7.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
14.6 ft
Flow
328 cfs

Forecast peak 14.6 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Tioga River at Lindley

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.2 ft
Flow
120 cfs

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 12 PM · NWS gauge page

Cowanesque River near Lawrenceville

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
7.3 ft
Flow
31 cfs

Forecast peak 7.3 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 1 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 44Typical 131

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
30
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Sat, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Elmira Corning Regional Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1938–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
59°15° / 36°2°
Forecast high / low
58°14° / 26°−3°
Record high
80°27° in 1947
Record low
23°−5° in 2000

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −11°−6°SatOct 17
  2. −6°−3°SunOct 18
  3. −5°−3°MonOct 19
  4. —TueOct 20
  5. −4°−2°WedOct 21
  6. −4°−2°ThuOct 22
  7. —FriOct 23

Big Flats weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:29 AM, sunset 6:13 PM.

Daylight
10 h 44 min
Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour
5:34–6:31 PM
Morning 7:12–8:08 AM
Blue hour
6:31–6:42 PM
Morning 7:01–7:12 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 62% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

93% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:31 AM · rises 4:46 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northwest from Big Flats. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,600 ft, 2 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.