Observed 5:30 PM EDT at KDXR

Carmel, NY weather

Sunny and 55°13°.

Mostly agree

Now 55°13°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the west. Light through 5 AM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable · down to 28°−2° by 5 AM (dry)
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 14Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.51 inHg1033 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (58°14° then, 60°16° now)

Good hours for

Below freezing tonight 3–9 AM (low 29°−2°)
Low 29°−2° tonight at 5 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
High 63°17° tomorrow at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 29°−2° by 5 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 65°18° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	63%	0
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	50%	58%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	56%	41%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	67%	40%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	76%	28%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	76%	8%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 43°6°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 41°5°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	1%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	2%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	3%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	3%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	79%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	61%	1%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	49%	1%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	41%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	38%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	41%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	36%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	3%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	10%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	4%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	86%	21%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	77%	28%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	29%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	19%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	56%	12%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	54%	35%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	5%	3
Mon 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	3%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 29°−2°. Typical 60°16° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 59, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Tonight: Areas of frost after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
29°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 43°6°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 35°2°. Typical 60°16° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 9am. Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. West wind around 3 mph.
Night: Patchy frost after 3am. Clear. Low around 35, with temperatures rising to around 37 overnight. West wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 42°6°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 59°15° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 9am. Sunny. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear. Low around 43, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 34°1°. Typical 59°15° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 42°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
33°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–69°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 65°18°, low 55°13°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Rain 1.2 in30 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.35 in8.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 64°18°
  30% chance · 0.22 in5.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.79 in20 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
51°11°–63°17°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 59°, low 29°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 35°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 43°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 56–69°; chance of precipitation on Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tenmile River near Gaylordsville

19 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft
Flow: 73 cfs

Forecast peak 1.1 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Wappingers Creek at Wappinger Falls

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 51 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Housatonic River at Gaylordsville

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 564 cfs

Forecast peak 2.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 4 PM · NWS gauge page

Cross River at Katonah

9.5 mi

Level: 1.4 ft

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 39Typical 103

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 35°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

WEST POINT · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1890–2025

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carmel weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 43 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 32 min less
Golden hour: 5:21–6:17 PM; Morning 6:59–7:55 AM
Blue hour: 6:17–6:28 PM; Morning 6:48–6:59 AM; first light 6:48 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–6:49 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:27 AM · rises 4:57 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Carmel. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,100 ft, 54 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Carmel, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Tenmile River near Gaylordsville

Wappingers Creek at Wappinger Falls

Housatonic River at Gaylordsville

Cross River at Katonah

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon