Observed 11:50 AM EDT at KROC

Churchville, NY weather

Sunny and 55°13°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 55°13°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the southwest. Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 3 PM
Pressure: 30.54 inHg1034 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 62°17° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 35°2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 62°17° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by 11 PM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	1%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	0%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	41%	0%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	40%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	41%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	43%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	84%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	84%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	33°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	30°−1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	62%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	1%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	42%	19%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	43%	42%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	45%	42%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	51%	45%	1
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	51%	0
Sun 7p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	70%	72%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	81%	69%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	84%	70%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	76%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	87%	75%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	69%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	57%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	85%	72%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	85%	39%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	85%	73%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	66%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	90%	32%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	93%	27%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	94%	47%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	90%	49%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	83%	31%	1
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from W, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	77%	36%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 35°2°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. East wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
31°−1°–35°2°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
35°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 34°1°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 6 to 12 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. North wind 5 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–48°9°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 50°10°, low 29°−2°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–51°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–44°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–69°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–72°22°
Low, likely
37°3°–53°12°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°14°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–73°23°
Low, likely
40°4°–57°14°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 52°11°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.34 in8.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 45°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 34°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 50–68°; chance of precipitation on Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Black Creek at Churchville

0.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft
Flow: 24 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Oatka Creek at Garbutt

7.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 43 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Genesee River at Rochester

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.8 ft
Flow: 866 cfs

Forecast peak 4.8 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8 AM · NWS gauge page

Genesee River at Avon - NEW USGS gage on the old railroad bridge

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 15.9 ft
Flow: 662 cfs

Forecast peak 15.7 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 75% less heating than a typical week.

This week 30Typical 117

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 24
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 12 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1872–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−2°−1°SunOct 18
+3°+1°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−4°−2°WedOct 21
−3°−2°ThuOct 22
−4°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Churchville weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 38 min; Losing 2 min 49 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 39 min less
Golden hour: 5:34–6:32 PM; Morning 7:18–8:15 AM
Blue hour: 6:32–6:43 PM; Morning 7:07–7:18 AM; first light 7:07 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:43 PM–7:08 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Churchville. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,800 ft, 26 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Churchville, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Black Creek at Churchville

Oatka Creek at Garbutt

Genesee River at Rochester

Genesee River at Avon - NEW USGS gage on the old railroad bridge

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon