Observed 11:40 AM EDT at KART

Ellisburg, NY weather

Sunny and 54°12°.

Forecasts agree

Now 54°12°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (47°8° then, 49°9° now)

Good hours for

High 58°14° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 39°4° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 58°14° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 40°4° by 3 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by 2 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	0%	2
Sat 1p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sat 3p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	55%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	74%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	64%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	57%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	50%	2%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	48%	24%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	48%	9%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	50%	40%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	41%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	61%	62%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	72%	75%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	73%	80%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	74%	80%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	73%	69%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	73%	79%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	74%	50%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	31%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	78%	80%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	90%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	60%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	85%	66%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	88%	50%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	90%	38%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	90%	46%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	88%	41%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	84%	49%	1
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	80%	64%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 58°14°, low 39°4°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. South wind around 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 32°0°. Typical 54°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 5% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. North wind around 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
32°0°–44°7°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 47°8°, low 31°−1°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 47. North wind around 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
45°7°–47°8°
Low, likely
31°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
32°0°–42°6°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 52°11° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 63°17°).
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 36°2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–52°11°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 35°2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–66°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–54°12°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 35°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 51°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  50% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–68°20°
Low, likely
40°4°–58°14°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 34°1°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 50°10°. Typical 51°11° / 34°1°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–61°16°
Low, likely
44°7°–55°13°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 34°1°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 44°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 59°, low 32°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 47–64°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Black River at Watertown

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 2,050 cfs

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Sandy Creek near Adams

6.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 114 cfs

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Lake America at Sackets Harbor

15 mi

Level: 245 ft

Reading from Sat 10:24 AM · NWS gauge page

Salmon River near Pineville

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.4 ft
Flow: 224 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 78% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 143

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 22
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 1 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Pulaski · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
−1°MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Ellisburg weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 36 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:24 PM; Morning 7:12–8:10 AM
Blue hour: 6:24–6:35 PM; Morning 7:00–7:12 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:35 PM–7:02 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:39 AM · rises 5:04 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Ellisburg. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Ellisburg, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Black River at Watertown

Sandy Creek near Adams

Lake America at Sackets Harbor

Salmon River near Pineville

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon