Black River at Watertown
11 mi- Level
- 3.5 ft
- Flow
- 2,150 cfs
Forecast peak 3.4 ft Sat 2 AM
Reading from Fri 11:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Observed 11:55 PM EDT at KGTB
Great Bend, NY weather
Clear and 37°3°.
Today: low 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°), high 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°).
Now 37°3°
Clear
- Wind
- 3 mph5 km/h
- From the southeast. Light through 1 PM
- Dew point
- 30°−1°
- Dry, static shocks likely
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
TonightNear 32°0° · freezing, low 30°−1° · Partly cloudy
This morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
This afternoonUp to 57°14° by 2 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 35°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 58°14° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 9 PM · Mostly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 1a | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°) | 28°−2° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 95% | 78% | 0 |
| Sat 2a | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°) | 32°0° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 95% | 73% | 0 |
| Sat 3a | Partly cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 94% | 55% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Clear | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 95% | 33% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Clear | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 94% | 19% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 94% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Sunny | 29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 93% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 96% | 6% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 88% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 70% | 1% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 62% | 1% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 54% | 1% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 49% | 1% | 4 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 46% | 1% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 47% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 48% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 50% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 56% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 71% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 92% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 92% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 91% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 90% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 89% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 83% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 71% | 1% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 60% | 0% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 53% | 0% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 48% | 0% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 46% | 0% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 47% | 40% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 50% | 36% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 54% | 41% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Mostly clear | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 61% | 43% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 70% | 50% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 78% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Partly cloudy | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 78% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 76% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 43°6° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 77% | 82% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 29°−2°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 30°−1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 57°14°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 42°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 35°2°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 29°−2°–35°2°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 6 mph10 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 61°16°, low 43°6°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 35°2°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 45°7°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 61. South wind around 7 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 60°16°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 35°2°–43°6°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 59°15°, low 30°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 57°14°20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 33°0°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. North wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 56°13°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 30°−1°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 28°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 31°−1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 44°7°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 34°1°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 29°−2°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. North wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 44°7°–47°8°
- Low, likely
- 28°−2°–33°1°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 30°−1°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 48°9°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 52°11°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 26°−3°–41°5°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 49°9°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 57°14°20% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 48°9°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 62°17°).
- High, likely
- 61°16°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 58°14°, low 46°8°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 47°8°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 57°14°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 48°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 40°4°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 41°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 60°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 49°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 57°14°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 39°4°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 50°10°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 50°10°30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 62°17°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 55°13°40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 54°12°40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 52°11° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 51°11°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.4 in10 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 54°12°40% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 56°13°40% chance · 0.23 in5.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 52°11°30% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 53°12°–61°16°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 52°11° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 22 mph36 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 57°, low 29°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 43°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 59°, low 30°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 47–63°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Beaver River (NY) at Croghan
17 mi- Level
- 2.2 ft
- Flow
- 294 cfs
Reading from Fri 11:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Black River at Watson
21 mi- Level
- 0.0 ft
Reading from Fri 11 PM · NWS gauge page
West Branch Oswegatchie River near Harrisville
22 mi- Level
- 2.3 ft
- Flow
- 204 cfs
Reading from Fri 11:30 PM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 70% less heating than a typical week.
This week 41Typical 136
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 29
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 22 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).
Open the windows?
Sun, 1:00 PM–4:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
WATERTOWN · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 55°13° / 38°3°
- Forecast high / low
- 57°14° / 29°−2°
- Record high
- 78°26° in 2020
- Record low
- 20°−7° in 1939
Last 7 days vs normal
- —SatOct 17
- —SunOct 18
- —MonOct 19
- —TueOct 20
- —WedOct 21
- —ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
Great Bend weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:28 AM, sunset 6:04 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 35 min
- Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 42 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:24–6:22 PM
- Morning 7:10–8:09 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:22–6:33 PM
- Morning 6:59–7:10 AM; first light 6:59 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 5–6:59 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
95% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:37 AM · rises 5:02 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
