Black Creek at Churchville
11 mi- Level
- 1.6 ft
- Flow
- 24 cfs
Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 10:30 AM EDT at KROC
Holley, NY weather
Sunny and 48°9°.
Today: low 38°3° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°), high 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°).
Now 48°9°
Sunny
- Wind
- 5 mph7 km/h
- From the west-southwest. 35–7 mph11 km/h through 10 PM
- Dew point
- 37°3°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 1Low
- Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3
- Pressure
- 30.54 inHg1034 hPa
- Steady over the last 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
6°3° cooler than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 44°7° now)
Good hours for
This morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 62°17° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 9 PM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 53°12° by 9 AM · Partly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 68% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 57% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 49% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 45% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 43% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 42% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 44% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 46% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 52% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 60% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 50°10° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 67% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 93% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°) | 41°5° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 91% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 89% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 42°6°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 81% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 69% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 60% | 0% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 50% | 1% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 46% | 37% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 43% | 6% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Mostly sunny | 66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 45% | 46% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 47% | 46% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 53% | 52% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Partly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 59% | 55% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Partly cloudy | 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 73% | 74% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Mostly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 79% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 82% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 83% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 83% | 82% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 82% | 71% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Mostly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 82% | 58% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 81% | 72% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 82% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 84% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 45°7° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 86% | 69% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Clear | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 90% | 34% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 93% | 37% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 94% | 48% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°) | 53°12° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h | 89% | 56% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 62°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 39°4°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 60°16°–62°17°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–38°3°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 39°4°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 49°9°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 42°6°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. West wind around 12 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind around 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 36°2°–50°10°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 41°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 49°9°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 39°4°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 37°3°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Northeast wind around 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 47°8°–52°11°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–40°4°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 46°8°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 38°3°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 60°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 51°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 57°14°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 35°2°–46°8°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 8 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 69°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 58°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 53°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 48°9°–52°11°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 15 mph23 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–52°11°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 50°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 50°10°–71°22°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 50°10°30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 67°19°40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 56°14°40% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 56°14°40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–58°14°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 13 mph20 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 51°11°. Typical 53°12° / 37°3°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°14°40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 63°17°40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 53°12°40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 62°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 47°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 62°, low 36°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 49–68°; chance of precipitation on Monday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Tonawanda Creek at Batavia
18 mi- Level
- 1.5 ft
- Flow
- 17 cfs
Forecast peak 1.5 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
Oatka Creek at Garbutt
19 mi- Level
- 2.4 ft
- Flow
- 43 cfs
Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
Sandy Creek (WNY) at North Hamlin
9.2 mi- Level
- 16.9 ft
Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 78% less heating than a typical week.
This week 27Typical 124
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 13
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 10 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Brockport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 57°14° / 40°4°
- Forecast high / low
- 62°17° / 38°3°
- Record high
- 81°27° in 1963
- Record low
- 22°−6° in 1980
Last 7 days vs normal
- —SunOct 18
- —MonOct 19
- —TueOct 20
- —WedOct 21
- —ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Holley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:37 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 38 min
- Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 39 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:35–6:32 PM
- Morning 7:19–8:16 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:32–6:44 PM
- Morning 7:07–7:19 AM; first light 7:07 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Clear 6:44 PM–7:09 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:12 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
