Black Creek at Churchville
17 mi- Level
- 1.6 ft
- Flow
- 24 cfs
Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 8 AM
Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 5:00 AM EDT at KROC
Clear and 32°0°.
Today: low 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°), high 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°).
Now 32°0°
Clear · Feels like 29°−2°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 99% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 95% | 12% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 93% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 78% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 65% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 53% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 51% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 50% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 50% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 53% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 57% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 64% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 50°10° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 77% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 81% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 79% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 35°2° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°) | 34°1° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 39°4° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 81% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 70% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 61% | 19% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 49% | 27% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 62°17° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 44% | 21% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 43% | 40% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 44% | 31% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 64°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 46% | 40% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 53% | 40% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Partly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 58% | 46% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Partly cloudy | 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 70% | 57% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°) | 51°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 78% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 83% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Mostly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 85% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 86% | 90% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 85% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 84% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Partly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 83% | 79% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 83% | 70% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Partly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 44°7° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 83% | 59% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 34. South wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 6 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. North wind around 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 61°, low 34°.
Dry, high 65°, low 47°, warming up.
Dry, high 63°, low 38°.
Mostly dry, highs 49–68°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 8 AM
Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 4:06 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 73% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 13 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 32°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.
Today, 2:00 PM–4:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.
On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
Irondequoit weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:35 AM, sunset 6:13 PM.
Clear 5:19–7:06 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing