Observed 4:35 PM EDT at KDKK

Lake Erie Beach, NY weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 41Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.47 inHg1032 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° warmer than this time yesterday (57°14° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 40°4° tonight at 4 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
High 62°17° tomorrow at 1 PM

This afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
TonightDown to 40°4° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 11 PM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 62°17° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	57%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	50%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	48%	1%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	2%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	46%	4%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	48%	5%	3
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	50%	44%	2
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	53%	52%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	58%	64%	0
Sun 7p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	51%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	76%	64%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	82%	65%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	39%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	73%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	92%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	82%	48%	0
Mon 2a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	75%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	85%	32%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	85%	67%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	87%	23%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	86%	19%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	86%	48%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	87%	38%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	82%	52%	0
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	76%	63%	1
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	71%	65%	2
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	69%	65%	3
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	69%	74%	4
Mon 2p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	68%	69%	4
Mon 3p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	67%	77%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 39°4°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind around 8 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind around 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–50°10°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. East wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
48°9°–58°14°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 58°14°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  50% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
54°12°–64°18°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 38°3°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 56°13°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.36 in9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 48°.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 36°.
Rest of week
Highs 55–69°; chance of precipitation on Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cattaraugus Creek at Gowanda

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.2 ft
Flow: 133 cfs

Forecast peak 1.2 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 2:16 PM · NWS gauge page

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Forecast peak 2.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Big Sister Creek at Evans Center

3.1 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Lake Erie at Sturgeon Point (NOS)

4.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 3:06 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 78% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 117

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 13
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Dunkirk Chautauqua County Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−7°−4°WedOct 21
−5°−3°ThuOct 22
−3°−2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lake Erie Beach weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 40 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 37 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:37 PM; Morning 7:22–8:19 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:11–7:22 AM; first light 7:11 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:48 PM–7:12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:17 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Lake Erie Beach. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,600 ft, 17 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lake Erie Beach, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Cattaraugus Creek at Gowanda

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

Big Sister Creek at Evans Center

Lake Erie at Sturgeon Point (NOS)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon