Observed 8:10 AM EDT at KBUF

Lancaster, NY weather

Sunny and 41°5°.

Mostly agree

Now 41°5°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the northeast. 35–6 mph10 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
Humidity: 93%; Air 41°5°, dew point 39°4° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.38 inHg1029 hPa; Rising · +0.06 inHg+1.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
High 58°14° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Low 34°1° tonight at 4 AM

This morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonUp to 58°14° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 34°1° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 2 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	99%	7%	0
Fri 9a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	98%	4%	0
Fri 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	10%	1
Fri 11a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	70%	19%	2
Fri 12p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	62%	24%	2
Fri 1p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	55%	63%	3
Fri 2p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	79%	3
Fri 3p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	45%	80%	2
Fri 4p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	44%	80%	1
Fri 5p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	80%	0
Fri 6p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	51%	67%	0
Fri 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	64%	67%	0
Fri 8p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	77%	63%	0
Fri 9p	Mostly clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	81%	40%	0
Fri 10p	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	82%	40%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	84%	36%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	85%	31%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	84%	6%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	84%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	81%	28%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	4%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	84%	4%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	84%	6%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	65%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	56%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	1%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	41%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	40%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	5%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	7%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	80%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	81%	2%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	85%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 33°1°. Typical 57°14° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. East wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–59°15°
Low, likely
33°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. South wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 36. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 62°17°).
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 37°3°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. West wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. North wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 34°1°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
34°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 42°6°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 54°12° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 40°4°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 45°7°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–64°18°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–63°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–49°9°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 47°8°. Typical 53°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–53°12°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 39°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 36°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 65°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 52–65°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

1.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 9 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

5.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.6 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Forecast peak 0.6 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

7.2 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 29 cfs

Forecast peak 1.8 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

7.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 7 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 37Typical 118

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 23 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sat, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Buffalo Niagara International Airpor · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1873–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SatOct 17
−2°−1°SunOct 18
+2°+1°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
−1°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Lancaster weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 42 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:37 PM; Morning 7:20–8:17 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:08–7:20 AM; first light 7:08 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 4–7:10 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 5:49 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

91% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:38 AM · rises 4:53 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Lancaster. Water in view.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lancaster, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon