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  • Coastal Flood Statement

    Starts in 3 h 38 min

    When
    Early Saturday morning.
    Where
    Southern Nassau County.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Upton NY

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level expected in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline.

    Impacts

    Brief minor flooding of the more vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

    Precautionary actions

    Do not drive through flooded roadways.

    Areas: Southern Nassau

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 12:50 AM EDT at KJFK

Lawrence, NY weather

Clear and 46°8°.

Today: low 43°6° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°), high 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°).

Mostly agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind
3 mph5 km/hgusts 21 mph33 km/h
From the north. 35–6 mph10 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point
36°2°
Comfortable
UV index
0Low
Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality
41Good
PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure
30.47 inHg1032 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa next 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Low 43°6° today at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° today by 9 AM
  • High 62°17° today at noon
  1. TonightNear 46°8° · Clear
  2. This morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  3. This afternoonNear 61°16° · Partly cloudy
  4. TonightDown to 44°7° by 5 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
  7. Tomorrow nightDown to 52°11° by midnight · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 1aClear47°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h71%13%0
Sat 2aClear46°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h76%9%0
Sat 3aClear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h76%13%0
Sat 4aClear45°7° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph14 km/h82%11%0
Sat 5aClear44°7° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h86%14%0
Sat 6aPartly cloudy44°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h82%43%0
Sat 7aCloudy43°6° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)39°4°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h86%77%0
Sat 8aCloudy46°8° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h76%80%0
Sat 9aCloudy51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)51°11°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h63%80%1
Sat 10aCloudy56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h53%80%2
Sat 11aCloudy59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h45%71%3
Sat 12pPartly sunny62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)62°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h38%59%3
Sat 1pMostly cloudy60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h39%52%4
Sat 2pMostly cloudy61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)61°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h35%45%3
Sat 3pPartly sunny61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)61°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h35%36%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)61°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h35%14%2
Sat 5pSunny60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h36%9%1
Sat 6pPartly cloudy58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)58°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h40%53%0
Sat 7pPartly cloudy56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h47%33%0
Sat 8pClear56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h47%0%0
Sat 9pClear56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h47%6%0
Sat 10pClear54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)54°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h55%0%0
Sat 11pClear53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h59%0%0
Sun 12aClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h71%0%0
Sun 1aClear49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h74%0%0
Sun 2aClear48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h77%0%0
Sun 3aClear47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h76%0%0
Sun 4aClear45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h82%0%0
Sun 5aClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h86%0%0
Sun 6aClear44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h86%0%0
Sun 7aSunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h86%1%0
Sun 8aSunny44°7° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h86%1%0
Sun 9aSunny48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h74%0%1
Sun 10aSunny53°12° (likely 53°12° to 54°12°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h61%0%2
Sun 11aSunny57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h51%0%3
Sun 12pSunny60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)60°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h44%0%4
Sun 1pSunny62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)62°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h41%0%4
Sun 2pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h38%0%4
Sun 3pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h38%0%3
Sun 4pSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)63°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h38%0%2
Sun 5pSunny62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)62°17°0%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h39%0%1
Sun 6pClear60°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h44%0%0
Sun 7pClear59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h49%0%0
Sun 8pClear57°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)57°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h55%0%0
Sun 9pClear56°13° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)56°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h59%0%0
Sun 10pClear55°13° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h61%0%0
Sun 11pClear54°12° (likely 47°8° to 58°14°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h64%0%0
Mon 12aClear52°11° (likely 46°8° to 57°14°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h69%0%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 44°7°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Partly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 6 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 47°8°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. West wind around 6 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 46. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 46°8°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 62°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 67.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 46°8°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 62.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    58°14°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 46°8°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 51°11°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 46°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    55°13°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 45°7°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 54°12°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    60°16°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 45°7°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 53°12°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 61°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    65°18°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 45°7°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 59°15° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    63°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    47°8°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 44°7°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 52°11°. Typical 59°15° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 62°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–58°14°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 44°7°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 57°14°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 62°16°

      20% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 59°15°

      20% chance · 0.22 in5.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    55°13°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–60°16°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 44°7°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    1

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 62°, low 43°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 63°, low 46°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 67°, low 51°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 59–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Little Neck Bay at Kings Point (IN MLLW)

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
8.2 ft

Forecast peak 9.4 ft Mon 11 AM

Reading from Fri 11:36 PM · NWS gauge page

New York Harbor at The Battery (IN MLLW)

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.5 ft

Forecast peak 6.2 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 12:06 AM · NWS gauge page

New Jersey Atlantic Coast at Sandy Hook (IN MLLW)

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.6 ft

Forecast peak 6.4 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 12 AM · NWS gauge page

East Rockaway Inlet at Atlantic Beach (IN MLLW)

1.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.8 ft

Reading from Fri 11 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 23Typical 83

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
13
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Jfk International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
62°17° / 47°8°
Forecast high / low
62°17° / 43°6°
Record high
74°23° in 2017
Record low
32°0° in 1969

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −6°−3°SunOct 18
  2. −3°−2°MonOct 19
  3. +4°+2°TueOct 20
  4. +2°+1°WedOct 21
  5. +3°+2°ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Lawrence weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:15 AM, sunset 6:01 PM.

Daylight
10 h 46 min
Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 30 min less
Golden hour
5:23–6:18 PM
Morning 6:58–7:53 AM
Blue hour
6:18–6:29 PM
Morning 6:48–6:58 AM; first light 6:48 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1:22–6 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

95% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:26 AM · rises 4:58 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking south from Lawrence. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.