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Observed 10:30 PM EDT at KROC

Le Roy, NY weather

Clear and 39°4°.

Today: low 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°), high 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°).

Forecasts agree

Now 39°4°

Clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 10 AM
Dew point
36°2°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
4Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure
30.47 inHg1032 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

13°7° cooler than this time yesterday (53°12° then, 40°4° now)

Good hours for
  • Low 33°1° tonight at 5 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
  • High 61°16° tomorrow at 2 PM
  • Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 8 PM
  1. TonightDown to 33°1° by 5 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 2 PM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
  5. Sunday morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
  6. Sunday afternoonUp to 65°18° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
  7. Sunday nightDown to 47°8° by 9 PM · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Fri 10pCloudy39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)36°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h97%73%0
Fri 11pPartly cloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)34°1°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h99%44%0
Sat 12aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)33°1°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%9%0
Sat 1aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)33°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%3%0
Sat 2aClear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)33°1°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%0%0
Sat 3aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)32°0°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%0%0
Sat 4aClear34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)30°−1°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%0%0
Sat 5aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)29°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%0%0
Sat 6aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)28°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h100%0%0
Sat 7aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)28°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h99%0%0
Sat 8aSunny33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)29°−2°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h100%0%0
Sat 9aSunny38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)34°1°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h98%0%0
Sat 10aSunny47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h79%0%1
Sat 11aSunny52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h68%0%2
Sat 12pSunny57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h58%0%3
Sat 1pSunny59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)59°15°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h52%0%4
Sat 2pSunny61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h48%1%4
Sat 3pSunny61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h47%1%3
Sat 4pSunny61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h47%1%2
Sat 5pSunny60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h48%0%1
Sat 6pClear57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h55%0%0
Sat 7pClear50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h70%0%0
Sat 8pClear46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)46°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h81%0%0
Sat 9pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)42°6°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h86%0%0
Sat 10pClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h89%0%0
Sat 11pClear42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)39°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h91%0%0
Sun 12aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h91%0%0
Sun 1aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h90%0%0
Sun 2aClear41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)37°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h86%0%0
Sun 3aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)36°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h88%0%0
Sun 4aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)35°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h89%0%0
Sun 5aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)33°1°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h91%0%0
Sun 6aClear38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h93%0%0
Sun 7aClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h93%0%0
Sun 8aSunny37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)32°0°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h95%0%0
Sun 9aSunny42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)37°3°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h90%0%0
Sun 10aSunny48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)45°7°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h79%1%1
Sun 11aSunny55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)55°13°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h66%0%2
Sun 12pSunny60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)60°16°0%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h57%0%3
Sun 1pSunny62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)62°17°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h49%15%4
Sun 2pSunny64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)64°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h45%40%4
Sun 3pSunny65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)65°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h45%34%3
Sun 4pSunny65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)65°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h47%13%2
Sun 5pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)63°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h52%66%1
Sun 6pCloudy59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h61%68%0
Sun 7pPartly cloudy53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h73%72%0
Sun 8pCloudy49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h83%82%0
Sun 9pPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h88%88%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 33°1°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 38°3°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind around 6 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    55°13°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 38°3°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 37°3°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 37. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 38°3°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Sunday, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 38°3°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 7 to 10 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. North wind 5 to 8 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    61°16°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    57°14° / 37°3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Northeast wind around 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    48°9°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 37°3°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 46°8°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 37°3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 56°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 66°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    65°18°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–52°11°
    Typical high / low
    56°13° / 36°2°
    Wind
    18 mph28 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 60°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    58°14°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–52°11°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 36°2°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 55°13° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 44°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    59°15°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 36°2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 54°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 51°11°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    60°16°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 36°2°
    Wind
    17 mph28 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
    UV peak
    2

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 56°, low 33°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 62°, low 37°, warming up.

  3. Sunday

    Dry, high 65°, low 46°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 52–67°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonawanda Creek at Batavia

10 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.6 ft
Flow
18 cfs

Forecast peak 1.5 ft Sat 2 AM

Reading from Fri 9 PM · NWS gauge page

Black Creek at Churchville

10 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.6 ft
Flow
25 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 2 AM

Reading from Fri 9 PM · NWS gauge page

Oatka Creek at Garbutt

10 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.4 ft
Flow
44 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Sat 2 AM

Reading from Fri 9 PM · NWS gauge page

Genesee River at Avon - NEW USGS gage on the old railroad bridge

12 mi
Below flood stage
Level
15.6 ft
Flow
569 cfs

Forecast peak 15.7 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Fri 9:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 35Typical 126

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
27
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 22 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Sat, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Avon · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1895–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
58°14° / 38°3°
Forecast high / low
56°13° / 33°1°
Record high
80°27° in 2024
Record low
22°−6° in 1923

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −9°−5°SunOct 18
  2. −1°MonOct 19
  3. +3°+2°TueOct 20
  4. −4°−2°WedOct 21
  5. −4°−2°ThuOct 22
  6. ±0°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Le Roy weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:35 AM, sunset 6:16 PM.

Daylight
10 h 41 min
Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
Golden hour
5:37–6:34 PM
Morning 7:17–8:14 AM
Blue hour
6:34–6:45 PM
Morning 7:06–7:17 AM; first light 7:06 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 12–7:07 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 5:46 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

95% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:35 AM · rises 4:51 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking southwest from Le Roy. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,100 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.