Observed 10:40 AM EDT at KMSV

Loch Sheldrake, NY weather

Sunny and 52°11°.

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the east-southeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 28°−2°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 1Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.37 inHg1028 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 56°13° today at 2 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM
Below freezing tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 31°−1°)
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
Below freezing Sunday 6–9 AM (low 31°−1°)

This morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 54°12° · Clear
TonightDown to 32°0° by 4 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 56°13° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 33°1° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 39°4° by 9 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	49%	0%	1
Fri 11a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	0%	2
Fri 12p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	35%	0%	3
Fri 1p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	32%	0%	3
Fri 2p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	30%	0%	3
Fri 3p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	30%	1%	2
Fri 4p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	31%	2%	1
Fri 5p	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	34%	5%	0
Fri 6p	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	37%	12%	0
Fri 7p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	56%	0
Fri 8p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	55%	64%	0
Fri 9p	Cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	59%	68%	0
Fri 10p	Partly cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	66%	0
Fri 11p	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	68%	0
Sat 12a	Partly cloudy	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	66%	72%	0
Sat 1a	Mostly clear	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	64%	0
Sat 2a	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	66%	71%	0
Sat 3a	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	62%	0
Sat 4a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	69%	58%	0
Sat 5a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	61%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	66%	75%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	72%	75%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	72%	68%	0
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	61%	63%	1
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	45%	38%	2
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	39%	50%	2
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	35%	50%	3
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	33%	44%	4
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	32%	37%	4
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	33%	34%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	34%	22%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	37%	19%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	41%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	48%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	0%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 30°−1°. Typical 56°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. Northeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–57°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 31°−1°. Typical 55°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 31. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–59°15°
Low, likely
31°−1°–34°1°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 35°2°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Oct 25. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. West wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–63°17°
Low, likely
31°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 39°4°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 57°14°, low 32°0°. Typical 54°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
32°0°–38°3°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
1
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 40°4°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–63°17°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–65°18°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 39°4°. Typical 53°12° / 32°0°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–62°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–47°8°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 32°0°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 54°12°, low 41°5°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°2°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 49°10°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 43°6°
  30% chance · 0.19 in4.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–60°16°
Low, likely
30°−1°–47°8°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 56°, low 30°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 58°, low 31°.
Sunday
Dry, high 62°, low 36°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 52–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BGM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Neversink River at Neversink Reservoir

3.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1427 ft

Forecast peak 1427 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Neversink River at Bridgeville

9.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.9 ft
Flow: 118 cfs

Forecast peak 4.9 ft Fri 2 PM

Reading from Fri 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Rondout Creek at Rondout Rsvr

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 837 ft

Forecast peak 838 ft Sun 8 AM

Reading from Fri 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Neversink River below Neversink Reservoir

3.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 75 cfs

Reading from Fri 9:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 44Typical 145

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 30
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Liberty 1 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SatOct 17
—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Loch Sheldrake weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 45 min; Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 36 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:22 PM; Morning 7:02–7:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:22–6:33 PM; Morning 6:51–7:02 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 61% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

92% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:21 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Loch Sheldrake. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,100 ft, 21 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Loch Sheldrake, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Neversink River at Neversink Reservoir

Neversink River at Bridgeville

Rondout Creek at Rondout Rsvr

Neversink River below Neversink Reservoir

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon