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Observed 6:55 PM EDT at KGTB

Lorraine, NY weather

Clear and 48°9°.

Today: low 38°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°), high 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°).

Forecasts agree

Now 48°9°

Clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 7 AM
Dew point
32°0°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
4Moderate
Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Low 39°4° tonight at 5 AM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
  • High 59°15° tomorrow at 2 PM
  1. TonightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow afternoonNear 57°14° · Clear
  4. Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 3 AM · Mostly cloudy
  5. Monday morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday afternoonNear 56°13° · Cloudy · rain chance 30%
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 7pClear50°10° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)50°10°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h52%0%0
Sat 8pClear48°9° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h56%0%0
Sat 9pClear41°5° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)39°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h70%0%0
Sat 10pClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h71%0%0
Sat 11pClear40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h71%0%0
Sun 12aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h69%0%0
Sun 1aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h69%0%0
Sun 2aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)37°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h69%0%0
Sun 3aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)36°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h70%0%0
Sun 4aClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)36°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h71%0%0
Sun 5aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)35°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h72%0%0
Sun 6aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)36°2°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h73%0%0
Sun 7aClear39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)35°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h74%0%0
Sun 8aSunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)36°2°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h74%0%0
Sun 9aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h65%0%1
Sun 10aSunny51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)48°9°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h54%0%1
Sun 11aSunny54°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)54°12°0%8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h49%0%2
Sun 12pSunny56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)56°13°0%8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h46%0%3
Sun 1pSunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)58°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h43%0%4
Sun 2pSunny59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)59°15°0%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h41%0%4
Sun 3pSunny58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)58°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h43%0%3
Sun 4pSunny58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)58°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h45%0%2
Sun 5pSunny57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)57°14°0%8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h48%38%1
Sun 6pMostly clear53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)53°12°0%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h55%44%0
Sun 7pPartly cloudy50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h59%49%0
Sun 8pPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h65%73%0
Sun 9pCloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)45°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h66%75%0
Sun 10pMostly cloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)44°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h69%66%0
Sun 11pPartly cloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h73%54%0
Mon 12aCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h74%79%0
Mon 1aCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h75%80%0
Mon 2aMostly cloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)43°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h77%44%0
Mon 3aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h80%65%0
Mon 4aMostly cloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h82%46%0
Mon 5aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)41°5°5%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h86%56%0
Mon 6aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)42°6°5%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h87%44%0
Mon 7aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)41°5°5%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h91%68%0
Mon 8aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)42°6°10%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h94%86%0
Mon 9aCloudy49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)47°8°10%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h89%79%1
Mon 10aCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 53°12°)53°12°10%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h85%80%1
Mon 11aCloudy55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)55°13°10%7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h84%97%2
Mon 12pDrizzle57°14° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)57°14°10%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h84%98%3
Mon 1pMostly cloudy57°14° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°)57°14°10%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h85%94%4
Mon 2pCloudy57°14° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°)57°14°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h86%97%3
Mon 3pDrizzle56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)56°13°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h85%99%0
Mon 4pDrizzle56°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)56°13°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph22 km/h84%95%0
Mon 5pShowers54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)54°12°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h84%91%0
Mon 6pShowers52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)52°11°30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h87%91%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 57°14°, low 38°3°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind around 6 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    56°13°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 38°3°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. South wind 5 to 8 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 7 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    55°13° / 38°3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 30°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Showers, 57°14°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 46°8°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 33°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. West wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 38°3°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 47°8°, low 30°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 31°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 44°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 33°0°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 47. North wind around 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 30. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    43°6°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–33°1°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 37°3°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 54°12° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°0°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 56°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    54°12° / 37°3°
    Wind
    13 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

    Night: A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    59°15°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 36°2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 50°10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 36°2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    53°12° / 36°2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 57°14°

      50% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 35°2°
    Wind
    17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 62°17°, low 52°11°. Typical 52°11° / 35°2°. Rain 0.69 in18 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 58°14°

      50% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 61°16°

      40% chance · 0.22 in5.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      40% chance · 0.37 in9.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    58°14°–67°19°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    52°11° / 35°2°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 45 mph72 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 57°, low 38°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 59°, low 44°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 57°, low 30°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 47–65°; chance of precipitation on Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Black River at Watertown

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.4 ft
Flow
1,930 cfs

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 5:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Sandy Creek near Adams

7.0 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.9 ft
Flow
109 cfs

Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page

Lake America at Sackets Harbor

15 mi
Level
245 ft

Reading from Sat 4:24 PM · NWS gauge page

Salmon River near Pineville

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.4 ft
Flow
224 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 76% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 136

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
26
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 32°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

WATERTOWN · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
55°13° / 38°3°
Forecast high / low
57°14° / 38°3°
Record high
78°26° in 2020
Record low
20°−7° in 1939

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Lorraine weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:29 AM, sunset 6:05 PM.

Daylight
10 h 36 min
Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
Golden hour
5:25–6:23 PM
Morning 7:11–8:09 AM
Blue hour
6:23–6:35 PM
Morning 7:00–7:11 AM; first light 7:00 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7:32 PM–7:01 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:38 AM · rises 5:03 PM
Full moon
Oct 26
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Lorraine. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.