Canandaigua Outlet at Chapin
3.4 mi- Level
- 3.2 ft
- Flow
- 20 cfs
Forecast peak 3.2 ft Fri 2 PM
Reading from Fri 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 9:00 AM EDT at KROC
Manchester, NY weather
Sunny and 43°6°.
Today: low 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°), high 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°).
Now 43°6°
Sunny
- Wind
- Calm
- Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 9 PM
- Dew point
- 39°4°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
- Pressure
- 30.42 inHg1030 hPa
- Rising · +0.06 inHg+2.0 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 53°12° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 33°1° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningNear 36°2° · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9a | Sunny | 41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 41°5° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 4% | 0 |
| Fri 10a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 83% | 4% | 1 |
| Fri 11a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°) | 50°10° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 72% | 5% | 2 |
| Fri 12p | Sunny | 53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 63% | 8% | 3 |
| Fri 1p | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 55% | 18% | 3 |
| Fri 2p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 49% | 67% | 3 |
| Fri 3p | Partly sunny | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 49% | 76% | 2 |
| Fri 4p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 48% | 81% | 1 |
| Fri 5p | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 51% | 80% | 0 |
| Fri 6p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 60% | 80% | 0 |
| Fri 7p | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 72% | 81% | 0 |
| Fri 8p | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 85% | 81% | 0 |
| Fri 9p | Cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°) | 39°4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 88% | 81% | 0 |
| Fri 10p | Cloudy | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 90% | 80% | 0 |
| Fri 11p | Cloudy | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 37°3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 92% | 79% | 0 |
| Sat 12a | Partly cloudy | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 90% | 74% | 0 |
| Sat 1a | Mostly clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°) | 35°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 92% | 38% | 0 |
| Sat 2a | Partly cloudy | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 35°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 93% | 54% | 0 |
| Sat 3a | Mostly clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°) | 34°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 95% | 45% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Mostly clear | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 33°1° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 97% | 36% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Clear | 33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°) | 33°1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 98% | 42% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Mostly clear | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°) | 32°0° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 95% | 17% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Mostly clear | 31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 98% | 43% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Mostly sunny | 32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°) | 32°0° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 97% | 40% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 94% | 26% | 1 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 77% | 7% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 69% | 3% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 57% | 1% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 48% | 0% | 4 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 45% | 0% | 4 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 44% | 0% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 44% | 3% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 47% | 3% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 54% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 67% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 79% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 87% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 87% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 84% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°) | 35°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 87% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°) | 35°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 88% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°) | 33°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 90% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 32°0° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 92% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 34°1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 89% | 1% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 31°−1°. Typical 59°15° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 56°13°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 42°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 33°1°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 56°13°–58°14°
- Low, likely
- 31°−1°–39°4°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 35°2°. Typical 59°15° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 32°0°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 61°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 37°3°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 35. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 60°16°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–36°2°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 58°14° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 36°2°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 66°19°).
- High, likely
- 62°17°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 35°2°–44°7°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 48°9°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 45°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. West wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 38°3°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 53°12°, low 32°0°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 42°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 51°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 40°5°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 38°3°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 49°9°–53°12°
- Low, likely
- 32°0°–41°5°
- Typical high / low
- 58°14° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 40°4°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 40°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 60°15°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 51°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 34°1°–42°6°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 57°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 58°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–52°11°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 18 mph29 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 47°8°. Typical 57°14° / 37°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 53°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 48°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 42°6°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 57°14° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 41°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 47°8°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 41°5°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 39°4°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 47°8°–62°17°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 56°13° / 37°3°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 41°5°20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 57°14°30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 51°11°30% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 57°, low 31°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 35°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 66°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 51–66°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Canandaigua Lake at Canandaigua
6.9 mi- Level
- 687 ft
Forecast peak 687 ft Fri 2 PM
Reading from Fri 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Honeoye Creek at Honeoye Falls
18 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
- Flow
- 3 cfs
Forecast peak 2.1 ft Fri 2 PM
Reading from Fri 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Erie Canal at Lock E29 Palmyra
6.8 mi- Level
- 444 ft
Reading from Fri 9 AM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 65% less heating than a typical week.
This week 41Typical 117
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 30
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 26 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).
Open the windows?
Sat, 2:00 PM–4:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Victor 2nw · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026
Oct 23, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 59°15° / 40°4°
- Forecast high / low
- 57°14° / 31°−1°
- Record high
- 84°29° in 2024
- Record low
- 25°−4° in 1896
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
- +2°+1°SatOct 17
- −10°−6°SunOct 18
- +2°+1°MonOct 19
- +5°+3°TueOct 20
- −4°−2°WedOct 21
- −4°−2°ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
Manchester weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:32 AM, sunset 6:13 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 41 min
- Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 41 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:34–6:31 PM
- Morning 7:14–8:11 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:31–6:42 PM
- Morning 7:03–7:14 AM; first light 7:03 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 59% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
92% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 4:32 AM · rises 4:47 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
