Observed 3:00 AM EDT at KMGJ

Mechanicstown, NY weather

Overcast and 30°−1°.

Mostly agree

Now 30°−1°

Cloudy

Wind: Calm; Light through 3 PM
Dew point: 28°−2°; Dry · up to 37°3° by 10 AM (comfortable)
Humidity: 93%; Air 30°−1°, dew point 28°−2° · frost likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

18°10° cooler than this time yesterday (48°9° then, 30°−1° now)

Good hours for

Hard freeze until 9 AM (low 28°−2°)
Above 40°4° today by 10 AM
High 62°17° today at 4 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Below freezing tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 31°−1°)

TonightNear 30°−1° · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
This morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 62°17° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 31°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 2 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	15%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	29%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	48%	0
Sat 6a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	81%	0
Sat 7a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	81%	0
Sat 8a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	80%	0
Sat 9a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	80%	1
Sat 10a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	78%	2
Sat 11a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	63%	73%	3
Sat 12p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	51%	69%	3
Sat 1p	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	45%	61%	4
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	41%	39%	4
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	39%	13%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	38%	2%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	92%	7%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	51%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	41%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	39%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	38%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	1%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 28°−2°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Areas of frost before 10am. Partly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Areas of frost. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. North wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
28°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 37°3°
Wind
5 mph9 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 32°0°. Typical 59°15° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 10am. Sunny. High near 64, with temperatures falling to around 62 in the afternoon. West wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Areas of frost after midnight. Clear. Low around 32, with temperatures rising to around 35 overnight. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
29°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 9am. Sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 57°14°, low 29°−2°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–57°14°
Low, likely
29°−2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 58°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 57°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 57°14° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 56°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–72°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 35°2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–68°20°
Low, likely
40°4°–53°12°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 53°12°. Typical 56°13° / 34°1°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  20% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 34°1°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 28°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 32°.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 38°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 57–66°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Neversink River at Godeffroy

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.6 ft
Flow: 208 cfs

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 1:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Delaware River at Matamoras/Port Jervis

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 1,490 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 1:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Neversink River at Bridgeville

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.9 ft
Flow: 118 cfs

Forecast peak 4.9 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 1:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Wallkill at Gardiner

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.6 ft
Flow: 280 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 69% less heating than a typical week.

This week 39Typical 125

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 28
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Montgomery Orange County Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1998–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−7°−4°SunOct 18
−1°MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
+1°±0°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Mechanicstown weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 43 min; Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 33 min less
Golden hour: 5:24–6:20 PM; Morning 7:02–7:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:20–6:31 PM; Morning 6:51–7:02 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 43% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

95% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:30 AM · rises 5:00 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Mechanicstown. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,100 ft, 21 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Mechanicstown, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Neversink River at Godeffroy

Delaware River at Matamoras/Port Jervis

Neversink River at Bridgeville

Wallkill at Gardiner

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon