Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KMSV

Mongaup Valley, NY weather

Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south. Light through 5 AM
Dew point: 25°−4°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.51 inHg1033 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for

Drops 12°7° tonight 6–9 PM (56°13° → 44°7°)
Hard freeze tonight 2–9 AM (low 27°−3°)
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
Drops 12°7° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (56°13° → 44°7°)
Below freezing tomorrow night 3–8 AM (low 31°−1°)

TonightDown to 29°−2° by 4 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 32°0° by 3 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 66°19° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	33%	40%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	37%	20%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	46%	8%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 37°3°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 37°3°)	27°−3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 38°3°)	28°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	60%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	48%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	35%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	32%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	32%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	34%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	47%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	7%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	39%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	17%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	29%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	35%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 41°5°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	51%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	23%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	17%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	89%	13%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	69%	16%	3
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	60%	21%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	54%	36%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	50%	29%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	50%	6%	3
Mon 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	50%	12%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 27°−3°. Typical 55°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 60. West wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 5am. Clear, with a low around 27. Northwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–61°16°
Low, likely
24°−4°–34°1°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 35°2°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 63°17°, low 30°−1°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Patchy fog between 10pm and 3am. Mostly clear, with a low around 30. West wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
30°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 32°0°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Northwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 58°14°, low 27°−3°. Typical 54°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 27.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
27°−3°–38°3°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
33°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 41°5°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 53°12° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–67°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 32°0°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–68°20°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.48 in12 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  40% chance · 0.26 in6.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–68°20°
Low, likely
48°9°–62°17°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 27°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 30°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 32°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 57–68°; chance of precipitation on Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BGM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

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Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 71% less heating than a typical week.

This week 42Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 30
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 25°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Liberty 1 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Mongaup Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 43 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 33 min less
Golden hour: 5:25–6:21 PM; Morning 7:04–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:21–6:32 PM; Morning 6:53–7:04 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:32 PM–6:54 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:32 AM · rises 5:01 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Mongaup Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,100 ft, 30 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.