Observed 3:40 PM EDT at KBUF

Orchard Park, NY weather

Mostly sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 6 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 14 mph22 km/h; From the northeast. 35–14 mph22 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 56Moderate; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow good
Pressure: 30.39 inHg1029 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 57°14° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Sunday afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 3p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	44%	78%	2
Fri 4p	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	76%	1
Fri 5p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	42%	74%	0
Fri 6p	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	76%	0
Fri 7p	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	58%	74%	0
Fri 8p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	67%	76%	0
Fri 9p	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	76%	65%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	38%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	79%	18%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	79%	20%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	78%	3%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	78%	2%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	81%	1%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	84%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	66%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	58%	1%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	52%	1%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	47%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	42%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	81%	1%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	81%	2%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	77%	1%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	68%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	58%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	3%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	48%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	46%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. East wind 3 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–59°15°
Low, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 47°8°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 55°13°, low 38°3°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Low, likely
38°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–49°9°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 54°12° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 40°4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 59°15°, low 46°8°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–67°19°
Low, likely
37°3°–50°10°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 53°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–56°13°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 39°4°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 40 mph65 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 40°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 64°, low 47°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 55–67°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

5.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Fri 8 PM

Reading from Fri 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

6.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.6 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Forecast peak 0.6 ft Fri 8 PM

Reading from Fri 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 9 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Fri 8 PM

Reading from Fri 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 30 cfs

Forecast peak 1.8 ft Fri 8 PM

Reading from Fri 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 33Typical 118

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Sat, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Buffalo Niagara International Airpor · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1873–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SatOct 17
−2°−1°SunOct 18
+2°+1°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
−1°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Orchard Park weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 42 min; Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 40 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:37 PM; Morning 7:20–8:17 AM
Blue hour: 6:37–6:48 PM; Morning 7:09–7:20 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 11 PM–7:10 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 5:49 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

93% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:38 AM · rises 4:54 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Orchard Park. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,500 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Orchard Park, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon