Coastal Flood Statement
Ends in 58 min
When
Early Saturday morning.
Where
Southern Nassau County.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Upton NY
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level expected in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline.
Impacts
Brief minor flooding of the more vulnerable locations near the waterfront and shoreline.
Precautionary actions
Do not drive through flooded roadways.
Areas: Southern Nassau
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 7:40 AM EDT at KFRG

Roosevelt, NY weather

Sunny and 45°7°.

Forecasts agree

Now 45°7°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the north. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–2 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 33Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.52 inHg1034 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
High 61°16° today at 2 PM
Low 44°7° tomorrow at 6 AM

This morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 60°16° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Mostly cloudy	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	48%	0
Sat 9a	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	55%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	59%	1
Sat 11a	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	55%	2
Sat 12p	Mostly cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	42%	57%	3
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	41%	51%	3
Sat 2p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	38%	69%	2
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	38%	64%	2
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	39%	40%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	39%	21%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	44%	19%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	49%	12%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	50%	3%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	54%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	2%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	76%	3%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	2%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	59%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	39%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	39%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	39%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	38%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	39%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	53°12° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	1%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	52°11° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	2%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	71%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	49°9° (likely 40°4° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	77%	3%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	48°9° (likely 37°3° to 54°12°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 37°3° to 54°12°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 37°3° to 53°12°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	1%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 38°3° to 53°12°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	86%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 37°3° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	86%	1%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 43, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. West wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 47°8°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 63 in the afternoon. West wind around 6 mph.
Night: Clear. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. West wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. West wind around 7 mph.
Night: Clear. Low around 49, with temperatures rising to around 51 overnight.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 43°6°. Typical 61°16° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
43°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 59°15°, low 50°10°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
41°5°–50°10°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 53°12°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 45°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 50°10°. Typical 60°16° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 45°7°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 59°15° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–70°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 44°7°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 53°12°. Typical 59°15° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–69°21°
Low, likely
47°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 55°13°. Typical 58°14° / 44°7°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–67°19°
Low, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 44°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 43°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 45°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 49°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 59–67°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Hog Island Channel at Island Park (IN MLLW)

6.2 mi

Minor flooding

Level: 6.2 ft

Reading from Sat 6:25 AM · NWS gauge page

Hudson Bay at Freeport (IN MLLW)

3.6 mi

Action stage

Level: 5.9 ft

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Little Neck Bay at Kings Point (IN MLLW)

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft

Forecast peak 10.2 ft Tue 12 PM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Reynolds Channel at Point Lookout (IN MLLW)

6.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.4 ft

Reading from Sat 5:48 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 23Typical 83

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 12
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Jfk International Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
−3°−2°MonOct 19
+4°+2°TueOct 20
+2°+1°WedOct 21
+3°+2°ThuOct 22
−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Roosevelt weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 45 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 30 min less
Golden hour: 5:23–6:18 PM; Morning 6:58–7:53 AM
Blue hour: 6:18–6:28 PM; Morning 6:47–6:58 AM; first light 6:47 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:28 PM–6:48 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:26 AM · rises 4:57 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Roosevelt. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Statement