Observed 4:15 AM EDT at KBUF

Sunset Bay, NY weather

Clear and 39°4°.

Mostly agree

Now 39°4°

Clear

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the east-southeast. 35–5 mph8 km/h through 4 PM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 41Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.44 inHg1031 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 39°4° today at 6 AM
Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
High 61°16° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Fog tomorrow night from 2 AM

TonightNear 40°4° · Clear
This morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
TonightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 9 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°)	35°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	2%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	59%	0%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	54%	0%	2
Sat 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sat 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	47%	0%	4
Sat 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	43%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	45%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	36°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	72%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	58%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	53%	7%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	47%	1%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	31%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	44%	41%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	43%	46%	3
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	47%	53%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	58%	1
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	56%	69%	0
Sun 7p	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	78%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	75%	79%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	78%	73%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	76%	73%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	56%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	73%	71%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	73%	67%	0
Mon 2a	Fog	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	74%	69%	0
Mon 3a	Fog	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	76%	64%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 61. East wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Patchy fog. Clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–47°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 58°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind 3 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–48°9°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 40°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 62°17°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Southwest wind around 9 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. North wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–53°12°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 57°14° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind around 8 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–68°20°
Low, likely
39°4°–48°9°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
47°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 50°10°. Typical 56°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 39°4°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–69°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–56°13°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 56°13°. Typical 55°13° / 38°3°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–73°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 38°3°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 53°12°. Typical 54°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.31 in7.9 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–64°18°
Low, likely
50°10°–59°15°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 38°3°
Wind
29 mph47 km/h, gusts 52 mph83 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 48°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 62°, low 37°.
Rest of week
Highs 54–67°; chance of precipitation on Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cattaraugus Creek at Gowanda

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.2 ft
Flow: 133 cfs

Forecast peak 1.2 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 2:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Silver Creek (NY) at Silver Creek

2.2 mi

Level: 3.7 ft

Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page

Walnut Creek (NY) at Silver Creek

2.6 mi

Level: 2.9 ft

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

Big Sister Creek at Evans Center

8.1 mi

Level: 3.0 ft

Reading from Sat 3 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 76% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 117

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 18
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Dunkirk Chautauqua County Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−7°−4°WedOct 21
−5°−3°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Sunset Bay weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 40 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 37 min less
Golden hour: 5:41–6:38 PM; Morning 7:22–8:19 AM
Blue hour: 6:38–6:49 PM; Morning 7:11–7:22 AM; first light 7:11 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 4:32–7:11 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:51 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:51 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Sunset Bay. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.