Observed 9:15 AM EDT at KMSV

Swan Lake, NY weather

Sunny and 36°2°.

Mostly agree

Now 36°2°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 9 PM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

10°5° cooler than this time yesterday (45°7° then, 35°2° now)

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 11 AM
High 59°15° today at 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Below freezing tonight 5–9 AM (low 31°−1°)
Low 31°−1° tomorrow at 7 AM

This morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 59°15° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 32°0° by 5 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningNear 35°2° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	68%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	45%	1
Sat 11a	Mostly cloudy	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	50%	33%	2
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	41%	43%	3
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	35%	11%	3
Sat 2p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	34%	4%	3
Sat 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	33%	4%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	33%	2%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	38%	0%	0
Sat 6p	Clear	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	5%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	63%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	40%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	34%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	31%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	31%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	31%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	41%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	32%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	5%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	85%	14%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	13%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	92%	26%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	23%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	22%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	30°−1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	22%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	32°0°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	18%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 30°−1°. Typical 55°13° / 35°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind around 3 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 30. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
28°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 35°2°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 33°1°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. West wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 33. West wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
31°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 35°2°. Typical 55°13° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 35.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 29°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
29°−2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 34°1°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 56°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
33°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 53°12° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 64°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 53°12° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–67°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 32°0°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–67°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–50°10°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 52°11° / 32°0°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–63°17°
Low, likely
32°0°–54°12°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 59°, low 30°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 33°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 35°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 55–64°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BGM) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Neversink River at Neversink Reservoir

8.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1427 ft

Forecast peak 1427 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Delaware River at Callicoon

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 1,060 cfs

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Mongaup River at Mongaup Valley

6.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 76 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Neversink River below Neversink Reservoir

8.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.3 ft
Flow: 75 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 40Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 2:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Liberty 1 NE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Swan Lake weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 42 min; Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 34 min less
Golden hour: 5:25–6:21 PM; Morning 7:04–8:00 AM
Blue hour: 6:21–6:32 PM; Morning 6:53–7:04 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:32 PM–6:54 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:32 AM · rises 5:01 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Swan Lake. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,800 ft, 24 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Swan Lake, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Neversink River at Neversink Reservoir

Delaware River at Callicoon

Mongaup River at Mongaup Valley

Neversink River below Neversink Reservoir

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon