Ellicott Creek below Williamsville
6.5 mi- Level
- 1.9 ft
- Flow
- 30 cfs
Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 11:53 AM EDT at KIAG
Tonawanda, NY weather
Sunny and 58°14°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 40°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°), high 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°).
Now 58°14°
Sunny
- Wind
- 3 mph5 km/h
- From the south-southeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 12 AM
- Dew point
- 40°4°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 4Moderate
- Moderate until 4 PM
- Pressure
- 30.52 inHg1034 hPa
- Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (56°13° then, 58°14° now)
Good hours for
This afternoonUp to 63°17° by 3 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 50% | 2% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 44% | 1% | 4 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 62°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 41% | 1% | 4 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 38% | 1% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 38% | 0% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 39% | 0% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 44% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 53% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 62% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 48°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 81% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 85% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 42°6° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 85% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 84% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 81% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 80% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 82% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 82% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 83% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 69% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 57% | 2% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 53% | 32% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 50% | 22% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Mostly sunny | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h | 46% | 45% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Mostly sunny | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 48% | 47% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Partly sunny | 64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 47% | 50% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Partly sunny | 63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 49% | 62% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Partly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 58% | 48% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 70% | 72% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Partly cloudy | 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 76% | 62% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Mostly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 82% | 56% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Mostly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 86% | 64% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 88% | 89% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Partly cloudy | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°) | 50°10° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 88% | 78% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Partly cloudy | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 88% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 87% | 59% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Partly cloudy | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 89% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Partly cloudy | 51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 91% | 69% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 93% | 69% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 97% | 38% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 99% | 40% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 98% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 91% | 28% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Partly sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 81% | 47% | 1 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 60°16° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 73% | 32% | 2 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 41°5°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind around 7 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 40. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 34°1°–40°4°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 41°5°
- Wind
- 7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 40°4°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 50°10°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 39°4°–48°9°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 41°5°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 62°16°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 43°6°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. West wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 59°15°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 36°2°–50°10°
- Typical high / low
- 56°13° / 41°5°
- Wind
- 10 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 52°11°, low 33°1°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 41°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 44°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 41°5°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 51°11°–53°12°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–42°6°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 48°9°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 43°6°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 62°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 54°12°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 60°16°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 39°4°–48°9°
- Typical high / low
- 55°13° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 54°12° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 59°15°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 56°13°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 40°4°
- Wind
- 14 mph23 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 51°10°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 62°17°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 52°11°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–56°13°
- Typical high / low
- 54°12° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 53°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 51°11°40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 65°18°40% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 58°15°40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 58°15°40% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–72°22°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–58°14°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 39°4°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 53°12°. Typical 53°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 59°15°40% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 63°17°40% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 54°12°40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 49°9°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 53°12° / 38°3°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 63°, low 40°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 48°.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 36°.
Rest of week
Highs 52–67°; chance of precipitation on Monday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Buffalo Creek at Gardenville
13 mi- Level
- 0.6 ft
- Flow
- 18 cfs
Forecast peak 0.6 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Tonawanda Creek at Rapids
14 mi- Level
- 1.3 ft
- Flow
- 64 cfs
Forecast peak 1.3 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page
Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer
14 mi- Level
- 2.4 ft
- Flow
- 16 cfs
Forecast peak 2.3 ft Sat 2 PM
Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 80% less heating than a typical week.
This week 24Typical 121
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 12
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 5 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Buffalo Niagara International Airpor · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1873–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 7°4° warmer than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 56°13° / 41°5°
- Forecast high / low
- 63°17° / 40°4°
- Record high
- 79°26° in 1975
- Record low
- 26°−3° in 1889
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
- −2°−1°SunOct 18
- +2°+1°MonOct 19
- +2°+1°TueOct 20
- −1°WedOct 21
- −1°ThuOct 22
- ±0°FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Tonawanda weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:40 AM, sunset 6:18 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 39 min
- Losing 2 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:39–6:36 PM
- Morning 7:22–8:19 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:36–6:47 PM
- Morning 7:11–7:22 AM; first light 7:11 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Clear 6:47 PM–7:12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:16 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 26
- New moon
- Nov 9
