Observed 4:15 PM EDT at KBUF

Tonawanda Town, NY weather

Sunny and 64°18°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 41Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.47 inHg1032 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.7 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

8°4° warmer than this time yesterday (57°14° then, 65°18° now)

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 9 PM
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear
TonightDown to 42°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 51°11° by midnight · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 64°18° · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	37%	0%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	38%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	43%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	62%	0%	1
Sun 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	56%	0%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	2%	3
Sun 1p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	47%	31%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	45%	5%	4
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	45%	32%	3
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	46%	50%	2
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	48%	72%	1
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	53%	60%	0
Sun 7p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	63%	72%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	72%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	79%	67%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	85%	65%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	89%	76%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	90%	85%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	90%	65%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	90%	30%	0
Mon 3a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	90%	28%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	91%	68%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	94%	67%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	94%	59%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	96%	38%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	97%	59%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	92%	60%	0
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	82%	66%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	72%	62%	2
Mon 12p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	66%	66%	3
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	63%	64%	4
Mon 2p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	64°18°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	66%	4
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	58%	73%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 63. West wind around 7 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 41. East wind 1 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 51°11°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–51°11°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 37°3°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. West wind around 8 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–50°10°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 37°3°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind around 7 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind around 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Low, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–52°11°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 54°12° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 40°4°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
2
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
49°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 56°13°. Typical 53°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 39°4°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 64°18°, low 55°13°. Typical 53°12° / 38°3°. Rain 0.82 in21 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.28 in7.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 62°16°
  30% chance · 0.49 in12 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 51°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 37°.
Rest of week
Highs 55–67°; chance of precipitation on Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (BUF) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

5.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft
Flow: 30 cfs

Forecast peak 1.9 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

11 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.6 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Forecast peak 0.6 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 16 cfs

Forecast peak 2.3 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.8 ft
Flow: 8 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 121

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 12
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 5 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Buffalo Niagara International Airpor · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1873–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−2°−1°SunOct 18
+2°+1°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
−1°WedOct 21
−1°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Tonawanda Town weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 39 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 38 min less
Golden hour: 5:39–6:36 PM; Morning 7:22–8:19 AM
Blue hour: 6:36–6:47 PM; Morning 7:11–7:22 AM; first light 7:11 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:47 PM–7:12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:50 AM · rises 5:16 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Tonawanda Town. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Tonawanda Town, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Ellicott Creek below Williamsville

Buffalo Creek at Gardenville

Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon