Observed 1:35 PM EDT at KMGJ

Watchtower, NY weather

Overcast and 57°14°, jacket by 6 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 57°14°

Cloudy

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the southeast. Light through 1 AM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Falling · −0.05 inHg−1.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (55°13° then, 53°12° now)

Good hours for

High 61°16° today at 4 PM
Below freezing tomorrow 4–9 AM (low 29°−2°)
Low 29°−2° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonUp to 61°16° by 4 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 31°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 64°18° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	43%	67%	4
Sat 2p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	37%	61%	4
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	37%	56%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	38%	51%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	44%	31%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	16%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	56%	15%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	65%	7%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 42°6°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	96%	9%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	92%	12%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 39°4°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	12%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	85%	0%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	63%	0%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	56%	0%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	45%	0%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	38%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	38%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	37%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	45%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	5%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	16%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	43%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	12%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	96%	5%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	16%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	14%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	19%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	20%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	29%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 41°5° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	16%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 48°9° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	59%	13%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 55°13° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	11%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 29°−2°. Typical 58°14° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. South wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 29, with temperatures rising to around 31 overnight. Wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
29°−2°–32°0°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 42°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 32°0°. Typical 58°14° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 63 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 4am. Clear. Low around 32, with temperatures rising to around 35 overnight. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
29°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 42°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 38°3°. Typical 57°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny. High near 70, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear. Low around 38, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 41°5°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 57°14°, low 29°−2°. Typical 57°14° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 57.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Low, likely
29°−2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 56°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
28°−2°–35°2°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 41°5°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 40°4°. Typical 56°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–74°23°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 55°13° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–69°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 40°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 55°13° / 39°4°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 57°14°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 63°17°, low 54°12°. Typical 54°12° / 39°4°. Rain 0.78 in20 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.33 in8.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.22 in5.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.36 in9.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–67°19°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 39°4°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 29°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 32°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 38°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 57–68°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (ALY) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Wallkill at Gardiner

6.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 259 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Rondout Creek at Rondout Rsvr

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 837 ft

Forecast peak 837 ft Mon 8 AM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Rondout Creek at Rosendale

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 9.1 ft
Flow: 154 cfs

Forecast peak 9.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 12:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Hudson River near Poughkeepsie

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft

Forecast peak 2.9 ft Mon 1 PM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 38Typical 113

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 28
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Mohonk Lake · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1896–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Watchtower weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 43 min; Losing 2 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 33 min less
Golden hour: 5:23–6:19 PM; Morning 7:02–7:58 AM
Blue hour: 6:19–6:30 PM; Morning 6:51–7:02 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:30 PM–6:52 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:29 AM · rises 4:59 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Watchtower. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,200 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Watchtower, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Wallkill at Gardiner

Rondout Creek at Rondout Rsvr

Rondout Creek at Rosendale

Hudson River near Poughkeepsie

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon