Observed 8:53 AM EDT at KFOK

Water Mill, NY weather

Sunny and 51°11°.

Mostly agree

Now 51°11°

Sunny

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Pressure: 30.55 inHg1035 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.4 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (52°11° then, 51°11° now)

Good hours for

High 58°14° today at noon
Below 50°10° tonight after 7 PM
Low 38°3° tonight at 5 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

This morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonNear 57°14° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 57°14° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningNear 47°8° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 9a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	72%	0
Sat 10a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	63%	67%	1
Sat 11a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	66%	2
Sat 12p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	49%	59%	3
Sat 1p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	55%	57%	3
Sat 2p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	51%	56%	3
Sat 3p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	51%	61%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	49%	63%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	53%	57%	0
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	63%	25%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	45%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 55°13°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	40%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 55°13°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	40%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 54°12°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	21%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 53°12°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 53°12°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 53°12°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 52°11°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 51°11°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 50°10°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 50°10°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	85%	1%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	2%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	3%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	3%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	2%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	53%	1%	4
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	51%	1%	4
Sun 2p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	55%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	63%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	61%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	60%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	63%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	65%	0%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	68%	0%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	71%	1%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	68%	1%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 61°16° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Patchy frost after 2am. Mostly clear. Low around 35, with temperatures rising to around 38 overnight. Northwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
35°2°–49°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 37°3°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of frost before 8am. Sunny. High near 60, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Clear. Low around 37, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–49°9°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. West wind 5 to 8 mph.
Night: Clear. Low around 44, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 60°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 54.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
40°4°–52°11°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 39°4°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 55°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–56°13°
Low, likely
45°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 38°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 61°16°, low 51°11°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–61°16°
Low, likely
48°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 38°3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 63°17°, low 47°8°. Typical 59°15° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 53°12°. Typical 58°14° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–65°18°
Low, likely
46°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 38°3°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 54°12°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 56°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–59°15°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 56°13°. Typical 58°14° / 37°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–64°18°
Low, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 37°3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 37°.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 54–63°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (OKX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Fort Pond Bay at Montauk (IN MLLW)

22 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.7 ft

Forecast peak 3.9 ft Tue 11 AM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Shelter Island Sound at Shelter Island (IN MLLW)

8.6 mi

Level: 3.2 ft

Reading from Sat 8 AM · NWS gauge page

Shinnecock Bay at Ponquogue (IN MLLW)

9.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.4 ft

Reading from Sat 7:48 AM · NWS gauge page

Orient Harbor at Orient (IN MLLW)

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.2 ft

Reading from Sat 8:54 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 111

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 18
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 9 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Westhampton Gabreski Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1951–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Water Mill weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 45 min; Losing 2 min 30 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 31 min less
Golden hour: 5:17–6:12 PM; Morning 6:53–7:49 AM
Blue hour: 6:12–6:23 PM; Morning 6:42–6:53 AM; first light 6:42 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–6:43 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:21 AM · rises 4:52 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southeast from Water Mill. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Water Mill, NY weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Fort Pond Bay at Montauk (IN MLLW)

Shelter Island Sound at Shelter Island (IN MLLW)

Shinnecock Bay at Ponquogue (IN MLLW)

Orient Harbor at Orient (IN MLLW)

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon