Neosho River near Commerce
16 mi- Level
- 4.9 ft
- Flow
- 4,380 cfs
Forecast peak 4.9 ft Sat 7 PM
Reading from Sat 5:30 PM · NWS gauge page
Observed 6:55 PM CDT at KGMJ
Afton, OK weather
Overcast and 68°20°.
Today: low 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°), high 81°27° (likely 80°27° to 81°27°).
Now 68°20°
Cloudy
- Wind
- Calm
- Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 7 AM
- Dew point
- 52°11°
- Comfortable
- UV tomorrow
- 4Moderate
- Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
- Air quality
- 59Moderate
- Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
- Pressure
- 30.24 inHg1024 hPa
- Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
About the same as this time yesterday (66°19° then, 68°20° now)
Good hours for
TonightDown to 55°13° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 79°26° by 3 PM · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 54°12° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 77°25° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 59% | 72% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°) | 63°17° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 72% | 79% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Mostly cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 81% | 64% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Mostly cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 59°15° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 80% | 64% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°) | 58°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 80% | 81% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 77% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 77% | 68% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 77% | 76% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 80% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 80% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 53°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 86% | 83% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 53°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 86% | 86% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 80% | 87% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 63% | 88% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°) | 69°21° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 55% | 88% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 72°22° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 51% | 87% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°) | 76°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 43% | 87% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 42% | 86% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 79°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°) | 79°26° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 39% | 87% | 3 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 79°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°) | 79°26° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 39% | 88% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 75°24° to 80°27°) | 78°26° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 42% | 90% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°) | 75°24° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 48% | 91% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 59% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 70°21°) | 63°17° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 72% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 61°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 78% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 78% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 75% | 92% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 77% | 96% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 72% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 75% | 97% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 77% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 74% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 54°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 80% | 87% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 53°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 83% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 53°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 83% | 65% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 53°12° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 86% | 62% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 75% | 30% | 1 |
| Mon 10a | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°) | 64°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 63% | 8% | 2 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 68°20° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h | 53% | 26% | 3 |
| Mon 12p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 44% | 63% | 4 |
| Mon 1p | Cloudy | 74°23° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 40% | 69% | 4 |
| Mon 2p | Partly sunny | 76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 36% | 46% | 5 |
| Mon 3p | Partly sunny | 77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 35% | 34% | 4 |
| Mon 4p | Partly sunny | 77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 35% | 41% | 3 |
| Mon 5p | Partly sunny | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 38% | 41% | 2 |
| Mon 6p | Partly sunny | 72°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 46% | 69% | 1 |
Days ahead
Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 80°27°–81°27°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–55°13°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 79°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 77°25°–81°27°
- Low, likely
- 53°12°–59°15°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 55°13°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–58°14°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 74°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 65°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 62°17°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers between 7am and 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–60°16°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 58°14°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 79°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 70°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58. South wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 78°26°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–63°17°
- Wind
- 18 mph29 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 60°16°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 65°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 81°27°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 71°22°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 79°26°–83°28°
- Low, likely
- 60°16°–64°18°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 59°15°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 65°19°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 69°21°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 63°17°40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–81°27°
- Low, likely
- 59°15°–66°19°
- Wind
- 14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 73°23°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 64°18°50% chance · 0.07 in1.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 67°19°40% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 66°19°40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 67°20°30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 71°22°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 61°16°–63°17°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 77°25°, low 63°17°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 69°21°40% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 79°26°30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Showers, 70°21°20% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Showers, 61°16°30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–86°30°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–69°21°
- Wind
- 19 mph30 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 73°23°, low 60°16°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 64°18°30% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 73°23°30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 63°17°30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–68°20°
- Wind
- 23 mph37 km/h, gusts 41 mph65 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 81°, low 53°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 79°, low 53°.
Monday
Dry, high 77°, low 55°.
Rest of week
Highs 73–81°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TSA) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Spring River near Quapaw
20 mi- Level
- 5.0 ft
- Flow
- 131 cfs
Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sat 7 PM
Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page
Eastern Oklahoma Lakes at Grand Lake
16 mi- Level
- 742 ft
- Flow
- 1,540,000 cfs
Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page
Buffalo Creek (MO) near Tiff City
20 mi- Level
- 2.1 ft
- Flow
- under 1 cfs
Reading from Sat 6 PM · NWS gauge page
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:35 AM, sunset 6:31 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 56 min
- Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 17 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:56–6:47 PM
- Morning 7:19–8:11 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:47–6:58 PM
- Morning 7:09–7:19 AM; first light 7:09 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 76% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:52 AM · rises 5:29 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
