Skip to forecast
Search a place

Observed 9:55 AM CDT at KGMJ

Commerce, OK weather

Overcast and 64°18°.

Today: low 53°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°), high 80°27° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°).

Mostly agree

Now 64°18°

Cloudy

Wind
Calm
Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point
54°12°
Comfortable
UV index
1Low
Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 4
Air quality
65Moderate
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.29 inHg1026 hPa
Steady over the last 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (64°18° then, 64°18° now)

Good hours for
  • Above 70°21° today by noon
  • High 80°27° today at 4 PM
  • Below 70°21° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 53°12° tomorrow at 8 AM
  1. This morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 80°27° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 55°13° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 79°26° by 4 PM · Cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Cloudy
  7. Monday morningUp to 59°15° by 9 AM · Mostly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 10aCloudy61°16° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)61°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h65%81%1
Sat 11aCloudy65°18° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)65°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h56%84%3
Sat 12pCloudy70°21° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)70°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h49%86%4
Sat 1pCloudy74°23° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)74°23°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h44%87%4
Sat 2pCloudy79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h39%75%4
Sat 3pCloudy79°26° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h39%69%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny80°27° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°)80°27°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h38%59%2
Sat 5pCloudy79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h41%76%1
Sat 6pCloudy76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)76°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h46%84%0
Sat 7pCloudy71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)71°22°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h55%85%0
Sat 8pCloudy65°18° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)65°18°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h65%85%0
Sat 9pCloudy61°16° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h75%78%0
Sat 10pCloudy60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)60°16°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h75%80%0
Sat 11pCloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)59°15°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h75%79%0
Sun 12aCloudy58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h77%81%0
Sun 1aCloudy58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h75%83%0
Sun 2aCloudy57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h75%77%0
Sun 3aCloudy56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)56°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h77%80%0
Sun 4aCloudy55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h80%82%0
Sun 5aCloudy55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h77%81%0
Sun 6aCloudy54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%75%0
Sun 7aCloudy54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%83%0
Sun 8aCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h86%84%0
Sun 9aCloudy57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)57°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h83%85%1
Sun 10aCloudy64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)64°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h67%86%1
Sun 11aCloudy69°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h57%88%3
Sun 12pCloudy72°22° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)72°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h51%89%4
Sun 1pCloudy75°24° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)75°24°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h46%92%4
Sun 2pCloudy77°25° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)77°25°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h42%92%4
Sun 3pCloudy78°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)78°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h40%93%4
Sun 4pCloudy79°26° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h39%94%3
Sun 5pCloudy78°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)78°26°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h40%94%2
Sun 6pCloudy75°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)75°24°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h48%95%1
Sun 7pCloudy70°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)70°21°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h57%95%0
Sun 8pCloudy64°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)64°18°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h70%94%0
Sun 9pCloudy61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h75%95%0
Sun 10pCloudy61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)61°16°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h72%95%0
Sun 11pCloudy59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)59°15°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h75%97%0
Mon 12aCloudy58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)58°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h75%94%0
Mon 1aCloudy57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)57°14°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h75%93%0
Mon 2aCloudy56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)56°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h74%94%0
Mon 3aCloudy55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)55°13°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h74%91%0
Mon 4aCloudy54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h77%91%0
Mon 5aCloudy53°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h80%86%0
Mon 6aCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h80%92%0
Mon 7aCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h83%94%0
Mon 8aPartly sunny55°13° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)55°13°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h80%59%0
Mon 9aPartly sunny59°15° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)59°15°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h75%62%1

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 80°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 55°13°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 5 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    78°26°–80°27°
    Low, likely
    51°11°–56°13°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    77°25°–81°27°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–56°13°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 76°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. South wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    75°24°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–58°14°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 73°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 65°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 62°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 74. South wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–59°15°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 77°25°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 68°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 63°17°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. South wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 76°24°).

    High, likely
    76°24°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–63°17°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 81°27°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 62°16°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    77°25°–82°28°
    Low, likely
    56°13°–63°17°
    Wind
    14 mph22 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 69°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    73°23°–80°27°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–62°17°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 71°22°, low 62°17°. Rain 0.41 in10 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 65°18°

      50% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 68°20°

      50% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 67°20°

      50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 64°18°

      40% chance · 0.79 in20 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    67°19°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    58°14°–65°18°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 72°22°, low 60°16°. Rain 0.88 in22 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 65°19°

      40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 74°23°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      40% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 61°16°

      40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    67°19°–76°24°
    Low, likely
    55°13°–64°18°
    Wind
    23 mph37 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 58°14°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 59°15°

      40% chance · 0.25 in6.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 64°18°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    63°17°–75°24°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–69°21°
    Wind
    29 mph47 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 80°, low 53°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 79°, low 52°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 76°, low 52°, cooling off.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 67–77°; chance of precipitation on Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TSA) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Neosho River near Commerce

5.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.0 ft
Flow
4,760 cfs

Forecast peak 5.0 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 9:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Spring River near Quapaw

6.4 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.0 ft
Flow
125 cfs

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Shoal Creek (MO) near Joplin

20 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.8 ft
Flow
75 cfs

Forecast peak 1.8 ft Sat 1 PM

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

Spring River near Baxter Springs

9.9 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.9 ft
Flow
186 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:35 AM, sunset 6:31 PM.

Daylight
10 h 55 min
Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
Golden hour
5:55–6:47 PM
Morning 7:19–8:11 AM
Blue hour
6:47–6:57 PM
Morning 7:09–7:19 AM; first light 7:09 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 81% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:52 AM · rises 5:28 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Commerce. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.