Observed 12:20 AM CDT at KPNC

Fairfax, OK weather

Clear and 63°17°, 8°4° warmer than a typical Oct 25, jacket by 8 AM.

Forecasts agree

Now 63°17°

Clear

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the south-southeast. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 12 PM
Dew point: 50°10°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Pressure: 30.27 inHg1025 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.5 hPa next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (59°15° then, 60°16° now)

Good hours for

Low 55°13° today at 8 AM
Above 70°21° today by noon
High 80°27° today at 5 PM
Below 70°21° tonight after 9 PM

TonightDown to 57°14° by 4 AM · Mostly cloudy
This morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Cloudy
This afternoonUp to 80°27° by 5 PM · Cloudy
TonightDown to 57°14° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 78°26° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 64°18° by 11 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 12a	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	70%	71%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	75%	55%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	78%	84%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	84%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	86%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	84%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	84%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	83%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	83%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	90%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	68%	91%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	59%	91%	3
Sun 12p	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	51%	89%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	46%	90%	4
Sun 2p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	45%	93%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	44%	93%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	42%	92%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	39%	92%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	43%	95%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	96%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	94%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	63%	94%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	65%	95%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	67%	94%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	70%	87%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	75%	94%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	78%	97%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	99%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	80%	97%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	80%	93%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	36%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	83%	63%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	63%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	75%	65%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	63%	71%	1
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	55%	74%	3
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	46%	69%	4
Mon 1p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	40%	83%	4
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	77°25° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	37%	81%	5
Mon 3p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	35%	85%	4
Mon 4p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	35%	72%	3
Mon 5p	Cloudy	77°25° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	36%	80%	2
Mon 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	37%	76%	1
Mon 7p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	41%	72%	0
Mon 8p	Mostly cloudy	70°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	44%	69%	0
Mon 9p	Mostly cloudy	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	50%	83%	0
Mon 10p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	54%	90%	0
Mon 11p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	56%	95%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 72°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 57°14°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Showers. High 76°24°, low 58°14°. Typical 71°22° / 43°6°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°21°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 43°6°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 60°16°. Typical 70°21° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 73°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 65°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 43°6°
Wind
19 mph30 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 83°28°, low 61°16°. Typical 70°21° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 73°23°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 42°6°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 78°26°, low 59°15°. Typical 70°21° / 42°6°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 73°23°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–78°26°
Low, likely
59°15°–65°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 42°6°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 76°24°, low 60°16°. Typical 69°21° / 42°6°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  40% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–76°24°
Low, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 42°6°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Fog. High 74°23°, low 60°16°. Typical 69°21° / 41°5°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 74°23°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–77°25°
Low, likely
50°10°–67°19°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 41°5°
Wind
21 mph33 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 58°14°. Typical 68°20° / 41°5°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°24°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–83°28°
Low, likely
41°5°–68°20°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 41°5°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 41 mph67 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Nov 3. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 68°20° / 40°4°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
54°12°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 40°4°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 80°, low 55°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 78°, low 57°.
Tuesday
32% chance of rain, high 76°, low 58°.
Rest of week
Highs 66–83°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TSA) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Arkansas River at Ralston

4.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 770 cfs

Reading from Sat 11 PM · NWS gauge page

Eastern Oklahoma Lakes at Kaw Lake

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1011 ft
Flow: 431,000 cfs

Reading from Sat 11 PM · NWS gauge page

Arkansas River near Ponca City

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft

Reading from Sun 12 AM · NWS gauge page

Black Bear Creek at Pawnee

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.5 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

This week 9Typical 0

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 50°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–2:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Ralston · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1959–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−5°−3°MonOct 19
−2°−1°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
+8°+4°ThuOct 22
+7°+4°FriOct 23
+6°+3°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Fairfax weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 14 min less
Golden hour: 6:02–6:53 PM; Morning 7:27–8:19 AM
Blue hour: 6:53–7:04 PM; Morning 7:17–7:27 AM; first light 7:17 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 79% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 7:09 AM · rises 6:06 PM
Full moon: Today, 11:12 PM
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Fairfax. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,300 ft, 14 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Fairfax, OK weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Tuesday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Arkansas River at Ralston

Eastern Oklahoma Lakes at Kaw Lake

Arkansas River near Ponca City

Black Bear Creek at Pawnee

For your home

Cooling this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon