Neosho River near Commerce
8.5 mi- Level
- 5.1 ft
- Flow
- 4,840 cfs
Forecast peak 4.9 ft Sat 1 PM
Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 7:45 AM CDT at KCFV
Welch, OK weather
Sunny and 46°8°.
Today: low 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°), high 78°26° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°).
Now 46°8°
Sunny
- Wind
- 3 mph5 km/h
- From the east-southeast. Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 8 PM
- Dew point
- 45°7°
- Comfortable · up to 53°12° by 10 AM
- Humidity
- 93%
- Air 46°8°, dew point 45°7° · fog or dew likely
- UV index
- 0Low
- Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 5
- Air quality
- 65Moderate
- Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
- Pressure
- 30.24 inHg1024 hPa
- Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.4 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 78°26° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 54°12° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 78°26° by 4 PM · Cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 77% | 29% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Partly sunny | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 77% | 70% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°) | 64°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 67% | 83% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°) | 69°21° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 57% | 86% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Cloudy | 73°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 49% | 88% | 4 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°) | 75°24° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 46% | 87% | 4 |
| Sat 2p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°) | 77°25° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 42% | 74% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°) | 78°26° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 40% | 85% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°) | 78°26° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 40% | 80% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 45% | 84% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 50% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 57% | 86% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°) | 63°17° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 70% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 75% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 75% | 83% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 75% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 77% | 78% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 80% | 79% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 77% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 80% | 88% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 83% | 82% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 83% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 89% | 75% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 83% | 77% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 83% | 82% | 1 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 70% | 87% | 2 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°) | 68°20° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 61% | 87% | 3 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 53% | 89% | 4 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 74°23° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 50% | 91% | 4 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 45% | 93% | 4 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 77°25° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 43% | 95% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°) | 78°26° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 42% | 94% | 3 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 76°24° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 46% | 93% | 2 |
| Sun 6p | Cloudy | 74°23° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°) | 74°23° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 53% | 94% | 1 |
| Sun 7p | Cloudy | 69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 61% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 70% | 93% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 75% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 60°16° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 60°16° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 75% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 75% | 94% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°) | 58°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 75% | 94% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 75% | 92% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 74% | 94% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 77% | 95% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 80% | 90% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 83% | 89% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°) | 52°11° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 86% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Mostly cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°) | 52°11° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 86% | 81% | 0 |
Days ahead
Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 78°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 51°11°–57°14°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 78°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–57°14°
- Wind
- 7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 52°11°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 56°14°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 76°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–77°25°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–58°14°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°15°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 73°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Partly cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Partly cloudy, 62°17°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–59°15°
- Wind
- 14 mph23 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 55°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 68°20°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 63°17°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–64°18°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 79°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 70°21°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 61°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–81°27°
- Low, likely
- 56°13°–63°17°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 55°13°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 78°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 69°20°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 62°17°40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 72°22°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–62°17°
- Wind
- 13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 61°16°. Rain 0.48 in12 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 64°18°50% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 67°20°50% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 68°20°40% chance · 0.18 in4.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 64°18°40% chance · 1.3 in32 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–64°18°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 72°22°, low 62°17°. Rain 1.2 in31 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 65°18°30% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 73°23°30% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 65°19°30% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 61°16°30% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 70°21°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 55°13°–65°18°
- Wind
- 23 mph37 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 59°15°. Rain 0.5 in13 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Showers, 59°15°30% chance · 0.27 in7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 64°18°30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 65°18°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 50°10°–69°21°
- Wind
- 29 mph47 km/h, gusts 42 mph67 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 78°, low 52°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 78°, low 52°.
Monday
Dry, high 75°, low 52°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 69–76°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TSA) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Spring River near Quapaw
20 mi- Level
- 5.1 ft
- Flow
- 140 cfs
Forecast peak 5.1 ft Sat 1 PM
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
Neosho River near Oswego
20 mi- Level
- 13.4 ft
- Flow
- 4,280 cfs
Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Neosho River at Oswego
21 mi- Level
- 8.7 ft
- Flow
- 3,890 cfs
Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 7:36 AM, sunset 6:32 PM.
- Daylight
- 10 h 56 min
- Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 18 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:56–6:48 PM
- Morning 7:20–8:12 AM
- Blue hour
- 6:48–6:58 PM
- Morning 7:10–7:20 AM; first light 7:10 AM
Stars tonight? Poor
Clouds most of the night (about 82% cover).
Moon
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 5:53 AM · rises 5:29 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
