Bear Creek at Medford
13 mi- Level
- 2.5 ft
- Flow
- 19 cfs
Forecast peak 2.6 ft Mon 5 PM
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 6:40 AM PDT at KMFR
Clear and 30°−1°.
Today: low 39°4° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°), high 68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°).
Now 30°−1°
Clear
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 67% | 8% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 67% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Mostly sunny | 41°5° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 34°1° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 60% | 19% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Mostly sunny | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 52% | 34% | 1 |
| Sat 11a | Mostly sunny | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°) | 53°12° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 47% | 37% | 2 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°) | 57°14° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 43% | 24% | 3 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 36% | 44% | 3 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 33% | 43% | 3 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 30% | 42% | 2 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 31% | 41% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°) | 67°19° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 33% | 22% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly clear | 63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 37% | 57% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Mostly clear | 59°15° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 41% | 64% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Mostly clear | 54°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 54°12° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 45% | 67% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 45% | 69% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 46% | 71% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 50°10° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 45% | 72% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°) | 43°6° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 49% | 72% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°) | 42°6° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 50% | 72% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°) | 41°5° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 52% | 71% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Partly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°) | 39°4° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 53% | 60% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Partly cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°) | 39°4° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 54% | 65% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 56% | 70% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 59% | 70% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Partly cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°) | 37°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 63% | 70% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 51°11°) | 36°2° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 64% | 71% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°) | 42°6° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 59% | 74% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 51% | 77% | 1 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 56°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 46% | 80% | 2 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 59°15° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 43% | 83% | 3 |
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 38% | 85% | 3 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 36% | 84% | 3 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°) | 66°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 34% | 78% | 1 |
| Sun 4p | Mostly cloudy | 67°19° (likely 60°16° to 68°20°) | 67°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 35% | 29% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 57°14° to 68°20°) | 65°18° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 37% | 22% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 62°17° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 40% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 20% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 44% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 54°12° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 20% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 49% | 14% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°) | 52°11° | 20% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 52% | 33% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 20% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 56% | 38% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Rain | 49°9° (likely 41°5° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 59% | 61% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Rain | 47°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 64% | 77% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Rain | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 69% | 89% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Drizzle | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 74% | 75% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Rain | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 77% | 84% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 79% | 94% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Rain | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 82% | 92% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Rain | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 87% | 88% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low around 39, with temperatures rising to around 42 overnight. East southeast wind 2 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
60% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South southwest wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Southwest wind 1 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Dry, high 68°, low 39°.
Dry, high 67°, low 38°.
57% chance of rain, high 56°, low 34°, cooling off.
Mostly dry, highs 49–61°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MFR) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 2.6 ft Mon 5 PM
Reading from Sat 6:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 0.8 ft Mon 11 PM
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 1.0 ft Mon 5 PM
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 3.0 ft Mon 5 PM
Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 78% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 28°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.
Today, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Today’s expected high is 4°2° warmer than typical.
On average 1°0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Ashland weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:34 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 68% cover).
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing