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Observed 5:15 PM PDT at KTMK

Bay City, OR weather

Sunny and 54°12°, rain tomorrow ~5 AM–4 PM (96%).

Today: low 45°7° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°), high 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°).

Mostly agree

Now 54°12°

Sunny

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the west. Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 5 AM
Dew point
46°8°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
3Moderate
Moderate 1–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality
29Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure
30.06 inHg1018 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (55°13° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for
  • Dry until 2 AM
  • Low 45°7° tonight at 10 PM
  • Rain tonight from 2 AM (100%, 5.8 in146 mm)
  • Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tomorrow 1–3 PM
  1. TonightDown to 45°7° by 10 PM · Rain 2–6 AM (80%)
  2. Tomorrow morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (90%)
  3. Tomorrow afternoonNear 52°11° · Rain all afternoon (100%) · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
  4. Tomorrow nightNear 51°11° · Rain all night (100%)
  5. Monday morningNear 51°11° · Rain all morning (80%)
  6. Monday afternoonNear 53°12° · Rain all afternoon (40%)
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5pCloudy53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)53°12°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h81%82%1
Sat 6pCloudy52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%83%0
Sat 7pCloudy50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)50°10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h89%81%0
Sat 8pCloudy47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%81%0
Sat 9pCloudy46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h91%78%0
Sat 10pMostly cloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h91%74%0
Sat 11pMostly cloudy45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)41°5°5%, 0.04 in1 mm7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h88%73%0
Sun 12aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)41°5°5%, 0.04 in1 mm8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h81%74%0
Sun 1aCloudy45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)41°5°10%, 0.04 in1 mm8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h82%92%0
Sun 2aCloudy46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)41°5°20%, 0.04 in1 mm9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h82%99%0
Sun 3aDrizzle47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)42°6°30%, 0.04 in1 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h83%100%0
Sun 4aRain47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)42°6°30%, 0.04 in1 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h86%100%0
Sun 5aRain47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)42°6°80%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h90%100%0
Sun 6aRain46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)41°5°90%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h91%100%0
Sun 7aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)43°6°80%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h96%100%0
Sun 8aRain47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)43°6°70%, 0.23 in5.8 mm9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h97%100%0
Sun 9aRain47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)43°6°70%, 0.23 in5.8 mm9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h100%100%0
Sun 10aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)43°6°70%, 0.23 in5.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h100%99%0
Sun 11aRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)46°8°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h100%95%1
Sun 12pRain51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)51°11°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h100%78%1
Sun 1pRain52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 26 mph41 km/h100%82%3
Sun 2pRain53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°80%, 0.22 in5.6 mm14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h99%89%3
Sun 3pRain53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°100%, 0.22 in5.6 mm14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph38 km/h99%76%2
Sun 4pDrizzle54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)54°12°90%, 0.22 in5.6 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h98%94%2
Sun 5pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h97%96%1
Sun 6pDrizzle52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)52°11°50%, 0.13 in3.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h96%98%0
Sun 7pDrizzle52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)52°11°70%, 0.13 in3.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h97%91%0
Sun 8pCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)45°7°60%, 0.13 in3.3 mm14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h96%99%0
Sun 9pCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)45°7°50%, 0.13 in3.3 mm14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph30 km/h95%99%0
Sun 10pRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)45°7°80%, 0.13 in3.3 mm14 mph23 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h95%100%0
Sun 11pRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)45°7°100%, 0.21 in5.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h95%100%0
Mon 12aRain49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)44°7°50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h93%100%0
Mon 1aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)44°7°50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm13 mph21 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h95%98%0
Mon 2aDrizzle49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)45°7°50%, 0.21 in5.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph29 km/h95%100%0
Mon 3aRain49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)45°7°60%, 0.21 in5.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h95%98%0
Mon 4aRain49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)45°7°70%, 0.21 in5.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h95%100%0
Mon 5aDrizzle49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)46°8°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h97%100%0
Mon 6aRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)47°8°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h97%100%0
Mon 7aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)46°8°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 18 mph28 km/h98%97%0
Mon 8aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)45°7°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h99%98%0
Mon 9aDrizzle49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)46°8°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h100%98%0
Mon 10aRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)47°8°80%, 0.14 in3.6 mm7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 13 mph20 km/h100%99%0
Mon 11aRain51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h100%98%0
Mon 12pRain52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h98%97%1
Mon 1pRain53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h96%96%1
Mon 2pRain54°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)54°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h94%96%1
Mon 3pRain54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)54°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h93%91%2
Mon 4pRain54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)54°12°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h93%83%2

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 55°13°, low 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 45°7°

      80% chance · 0.43 in11 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. West wind around 1 mph.

    Tonight: Rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 47 overnight. Southeast wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–45°7°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 54°12°, low 48°9°. Rain 0.85 in22 mm, 100% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 47°8°

      90% chance · 1.4 in35 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 54°12°

      100% chance · 1.2 in31 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 50°10°

      100% chance · 0.86 in22 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 49°9°

      80% chance · 1.2 in30 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain. Cloudy. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 48. South southeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    54°12°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–48°9°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 55°13°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.41 in10 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 48°9°

      80% chance · 0.71 in18 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 55°13°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. South southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

    Night: Areas of fog between 8pm and 11pm, then a chance of rain and patchy fog between 11pm and 4am, then areas of fog and a chance of rain between 4am and 5am, then rain likely and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    54°12°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–50°10°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 49°9°

      50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 55°13°

      50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      80% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55.

    Night: A slight chance of rain before 8pm, then rain and patchy fog between 8pm and 5am, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–50°10°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 52°11°, low 43°6°. Rain 0.77 in20 mm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 48°9°

      90% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 53°11°

      80% chance · 0.17 in4.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 47°8°

      80% chance · 0.18 in4.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 46°8°

      70% chance · 0.27 in6.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Showers and thunderstorms before 5pm, then rain. Cloudy, with a high near 52.

    Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 43.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    51°11°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–48°9°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Rain 0.58 in15 mm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 46°8°

      70% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 51°10°

      70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 41°5°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51.

    Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    49°9°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–46°8°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 52°11°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 43°6°

      30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 44°7°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 40°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain before 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 52.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–52°11°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–42°6°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 40°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 51°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–41°5°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 42°6°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      20% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–46°8°
    Wind
    14 mph23 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 54°12°, low 45°7°. Rain 0.53 in13 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 52°11°

      30% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–56°13°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–46°8°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 55°, low 45°.

  2. Tomorrow

    95% chance of rain, high 54°, low 48°.

  3. Monday

    79% chance of rain, high 55°, low 46°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 51–55°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PQR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Wilson River near Tillamook

8.5 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.5 ft
Flow
57 cfs

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 11 AM

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Trask River near Tillamook

10 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.5 ft
Flow
70 cfs

Forecast peak 5.7 ft Sun 5 PM

Reading from Sat 5 PM · NWS gauge page

Nehalem River near Foss

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.5 ft
Flow
90 cfs

Forecast peak 2.2 ft Wed 11 PM

Reading from Sat 4:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Nestucca River near Beaver

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.9 ft
Flow
68 cfs

Forecast peak 4.1 ft Thu 5 PM

Reading from Sat 4:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:44 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.

Daylight
10 h 30 min
Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 48 min less
Golden hour
5:32–6:33 PM
Morning 7:25–8:25 AM
Blue hour
6:33–6:44 PM
Morning 7:13–7:25 AM; first light 7:13 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 88% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:01 AM · rises 5:15 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking east from Bay City. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,100 ft, 13 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.