Observed 3:50 PM PDT at KRDM

Black Butte Ranch, OR weather

Sunny and 63°17°, jacket by 6 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 4 AM
Dew point: 27°−3°; Dry · down to 18°−8° by 11 PM
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 12–4 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 24Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.06 inHg1018 hPa; Falling · −0.07 inHg−2.4 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

10°6° warmer than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 62°17° now)

Good hours for

Drops 13°7° tonight 6–9 PM (54°12° → 41°5°)
Hard freeze tonight 3–9 AM (low 28°−2°)
Drops 13°7° tomorrow 5–8 PM (56°13° → 43°6°)
Rain tomorrow night from 11 PM (80%, 0.32 in8.1 mm)
Hard freeze tomorrow night midnight–9 AM (low 28°−2°)

This afternoonNear 60°16° · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 31°−1° by 4 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 62°17° by 2 PM · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 29°−2° by 4 AM · Rain 11 PM–6 AM (70%) · freezing, low 29°−2°
Monday morningUp to 44°7° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (80%) · freezing, low 28°−2°
Monday afternoonNear 47°8° · Rain all afternoon (80%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	23%	61%	1
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	27%	72%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	33%	73%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	41%	77%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	46%	78%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	48%	80%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	80%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	48%	83%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 44°7°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	47%	84%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	47%	90%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 46°8°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	47%	90%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 46°8°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	91%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 46°8°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	48%	91%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 45°7°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	88%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 44°7°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	83%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 43°6°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	54%	76%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	54%	74%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	51%	76%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	41%	79%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	35%	77%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	33%	79%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	31%	81%	3
Sun 2p	Mostly cloudy	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	29%	51%	3
Sun 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	32%	39%	3
Sun 4p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	35%	78%	2
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	56°13°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	39%	66%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	50%	38%	0
Sun 7p	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	64%	70%	0
Sun 8p	Showers	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	40°4°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	55%	0
Sun 9p	Showers	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)	37°3°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	76%	70%	0
Sun 10p	Showers	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	35°2°	30%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	81%	74%	0
Sun 11p	Showers	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 43°6°)	34°1°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	82%	79%	0
Mon 12a	Showers	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 42°6°)	32°0°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	85%	72%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	87%	48%	0
Mon 2a	Snow	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	88%	50%	0
Mon 3a	Snow	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	92%	87%	0
Mon 4a	Snow	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	46%	0
Mon 5a	Snow	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	94%	53%	0
Mon 6a	Snow	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	98%	52%	0
Mon 7a	Snow	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 41°5°)	28°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	92%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	99%	100%	0
Mon 9a	Showers	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	94%	90%	0
Mon 10a	Showers	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	88%	93%	0
Mon 11a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	81%	96%	1
Mon 12p	Showers	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	77%	95%	3
Mon 1p	Showers	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	74%	86%	2
Mon 2p	Showers	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	73%	93%	2
Mon 3p	Showers	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	73%	79%	2

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 28, with temperatures rising to around 31 overnight. Wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
26°−3°–35°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 40°4°
  50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 29°−2°
  70% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly cloudy. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers between 8pm and 2am, then rain and snow showers likely between 2am and 5am, then snow showers likely and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 62°17°).
High, likely
58°14°–62°17°
Low, likely
26°−3°–41°5°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 49°9°, low 27°−3°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 29°−2°
  80% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 48°9°
  80% chance · 0.18 in4.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  70% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Snow showers likely and patchy fog before 8am, then rain showers and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Low, likely
27°−3°–40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Tuesday, Oct 27. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 24°−4°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 41°5°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 11pm and 5am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Low, likely
24°−4°–40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 49°9°, low 22°−6°. Snow 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 37°3°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 39°4°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 33°1°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow showers before 8am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 49.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 8pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Low, likely
22°−6°–38°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 46°8°, low 19°−7°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Fog, 33°1°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 43°6°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow showers before 11am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Low, likely
19°−7°–33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 47°8°, low 18°−8°. Snow 0.06 in1.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 41°5°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 32°0°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 29°−2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow showers before 11am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 47.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–47°8°
Low, likely
18°−8°–33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 44°7°, low 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–50°10°
Low, likely
23°−5°–33°1°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Partly sunny. High 48°9°, low 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–56°13°
Low, likely
29°−2°–32°0°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 46°8°, low 32°0°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 36°2°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–34°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 28°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 26°, warming up.
Monday
84% chance of snow, high 49°, low 27°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Highs 44–50°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PDT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Whychus Creek near Sisters

8.1 mi

Level: 0.3 ft

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

McKenzie River at Outlet of Clear Lake

16 mi

Level: 0.8 ft
Flow: 112 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

McKenzie River near Belknap Springs

19 mi

Level: 2094 ft
Flow: 186 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Smith River (OR) above Belknap Springs

20 mi

Level: 2196 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 34 min; Losing 2 min 49 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 43 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:25 PM; Morning 7:15–8:14 AM
Blue hour: 6:25–6:37 PM; Morning 7:03–7:15 AM; first light 7:03 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 83% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:51 AM · rises 5:08 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southwest from Black Butte Ranch. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,300 ft, 19 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.