Model estimate for 2:00 PM PDT (no recent station report)

Fossil, OR weather

Partly cloudy and 56°13°, jacket by 6 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 56°13°

Partly sunny

Wind: 6 mph10 km/h; From the southeast. Up to 13 mph21 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 27°−3°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 3Moderate; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
Rain Monday from 11 AM (60%)

This afternoonNear 57°14° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 60°16° by 3 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (60%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	21%	2
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	32%	20%	2
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	34%	58%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	37%	66%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	45%	80%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	47%	80%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	76%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	80%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	45%	80%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	40°4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	45%	81%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	47%	82%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	46%	82%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	47%	76%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	48%	60%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	64%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	37°3°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	70%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	35°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	51%	72%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	52%	63%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	35°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	51%	75%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	39°4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	72%	0
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	43%	76%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	40%	78%	2
Sun 12p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	40%	79%	3
Sun 1p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	38%	81%	3
Sun 2p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	37%	82%	3
Sun 3p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	38%	83%	2
Sun 4p	Mostly cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	41%	44%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	57°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	43%	47%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	87%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	46°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	55%	43%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	57%	40%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	43%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	46%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	44°7°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	47%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	43°6°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	71%	0
Mon 1a	Rain	43°6° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	43°6°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	59%	67%	0
Mon 2a	Showers	42°6° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	42°6°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	66%	0
Mon 3a	Showers	42°6° (likely 35°2° to 45°7°)	42°6°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	61%	70%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 44°7°)	41°5°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	62%	75%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	39°4°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	62%	80%	0
Mon 6a	Showers	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	37°3°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	65%	80%	0
Mon 7a	Showers	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 44°7°)	36°2°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	66%	83%	0
Mon 8a	Showers	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	66%	80%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	65%	83%	0
Mon 10a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	43°6°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	63%	80%	1
Mon 11a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	62%	82%	2
Mon 12p	Showers	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	63%	91%	1
Mon 1p	Showers	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	60%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	65%	85%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 59°15° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind 2 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
31°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly cloudy. High 61°16°, low 39°4°. Typical 59°15° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 32°0°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Showers. High 51°11°, low 40°4°. Typical 58°14° / 32°0°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  60% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 49°9°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 42°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain showers before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
35°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 32°0°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 52°11°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 31°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Showers. High 51°11°, low 35°2°. Typical 57°14° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 51.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Low, likely
32°0°–40°4°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 31°−1°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 48°9°, low 32°0°. Typical 57°14° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 32°0°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 48.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Low, likely
31°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
57°14° / 31°−1°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 46°8°, low 31°−1°. Typical 56°13° / 31°−1°. Snow 0.08 in2 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow showers before 11am, then a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 46.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 8pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–34°1°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 28°−2°. Typical 56°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–48°9°
Low, likely
18°−8°–33°1°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 32°0°. Typical 55°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 35°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–56°13°
Low, likely
26°−3°–37°3°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 33°1°. Typical 55°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Low, likely
28°−2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 57°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 39°, warming up.
Monday
56% chance of rain, high 51°, low 40°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 44–52°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PDT) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

John Day River at Service Creek

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 250 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 5 PM

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Butte Creek near Fossil

4.9 mi

Level: 0.7 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Bridge Creek near Mitchell

19 mi

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 76% less heating than a typical week.

This week 35Typical 143

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 27°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Fossil · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1945–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Fossil weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 32 min; Losing 2 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 46 min less
Golden hour: 5:19–6:19 PM; Morning 7:10–8:09 AM
Blue hour: 6:19–6:30 PM; Morning 6:58–7:10 AM; first light 6:58 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 76% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:01 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southeast from Fossil. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,800 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.