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Model estimate for 9:00 AM PDT (no recent station report)

Manzanita, OR weather

Overcast and 44°7°, rain tomorrow ~3–8 AM (89%).

Today: low 45°7° (likely 35°2° to 45°7°), high 54°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°).

Mostly agree

Now 44°7°

Cloudy

Wind
Calm
Light through 9 PM
Dew point
40°4°
Comfortable · up to 49°9° by 4 PM
UV tomorrow
1Low
Low all day (peak 1)
Air quality
41Good
Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (34°1° then, 36°2° now)

Good hours for
  • Dry until midnight
  • High 53°12° today at 1 PM
  • Rain tonight from midnight (90%, 4.8 in121 mm)
  • Gusts to 26 mph42 km/h tomorrow 7–8 AM
  • Gusts to 30 mph48 km/h tomorrow noon–6 PM
  1. This morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
  2. This afternoonNear 52°11° · Mostly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 47°8° by midnight · Rain midnight–6 AM (80%)
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (90%) · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
  5. Tomorrow afternoonNear 54°12° · Rain all afternoon (90%) · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 4 AM · Rain all night (90%)
  7. Monday morningNear 49°9° · Rain all morning (70%)
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 9aCloudy44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h85%83%0
Sat 10aCloudy48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)48°9°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h83%76%0
Sat 11aCloudy51°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)51°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h76%82%1
Sat 12pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)52°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h80%82%2
Sat 1pCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h80%82%2
Sat 2pCloudy52°11° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h81%83%2
Sat 3pCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h81%90%1
Sat 4pCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h85%83%1
Sat 5pCloudy52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%83%1
Sat 6pCloudy52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)52°11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h87%81%0
Sat 7pCloudy51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)51°11°5%1 mph2 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h86%76%0
Sat 8pCloudy49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)49°9°5%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h85%74%0
Sat 9pCloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)47°8°5%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h84%74%0
Sat 10pCloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)46°8°5%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h81%74%0
Sat 11pCloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)45°7°20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h80%73%0
Sun 12aCloudy47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)43°6°20%, 0.06 in1.5 mm8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h75%85%0
Sun 1aCloudy48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)43°6°30%, 0.06 in1.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h74%95%0
Sun 2aCloudy48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)43°6°40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h74%100%0
Sun 3aCloudy47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)42°6°40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h74%100%0
Sun 4aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)43°6°50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm12 mph19 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h76%100%0
Sun 5aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)43°6°80%, 0.29 in7.4 mm12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h79%100%0
Sun 6aRain46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)41°5°70%, 0.29 in7.4 mm12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h81%100%0
Sun 7aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)43°6°50%, 0.29 in7.4 mm12 mph19 km/h from SSE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h83%100%0
Sun 8aRain48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)43°6°80%, 0.29 in7.4 mm13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h84%100%0
Sun 9aRain49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)44°7°80%, 0.29 in7.4 mm13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph33 km/h91%100%0
Sun 10aRain51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)51°11°90%, 0.29 in7.4 mm13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph31 km/h92%98%0
Sun 11aDrizzle52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)52°11°70%, 0.16 in4.1 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h92%92%0
Sun 12pRain53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°60%, 0.16 in4.1 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h97%75%0
Sun 1pCloudy53°12° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)53°12°60%, 0.16 in4.1 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph44 km/h96%90%0
Sun 2pRain53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)53°12°70%, 0.16 in4.1 mm17 mph27 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph44 km/h97%77%1
Sun 3pCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)53°12°80%, 0.16 in4.1 mm17 mph27 km/h from S, gusts 30 mph48 km/h97%92%0
Sun 4pCloudy53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)53°12°70%, 0.16 in4.1 mm17 mph27 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph43 km/h99%93%0
Sun 5pDrizzle54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)54°12°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph43 km/h99%94%0
Sun 6pDrizzle53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)53°12°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h100%95%0
Sun 7pCloudy53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)53°12°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm16 mph26 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph33 km/h98%96%0
Sun 8pRain53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)53°12°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h94%98%0
Sun 9pRain52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)52°11°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h92%99%0
Sun 10pRain52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)52°11°90%, 0.18 in4.6 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h90%100%0
Sun 11pRain51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°80%, 0.08 in2 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h89%100%0
Mon 12aRain51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°80%, 0.08 in2 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h88%100%0
Mon 1aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)45°7°80%, 0.08 in2 mm15 mph24 km/h from SSE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h87%98%0
Mon 2aCloudy50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)46°8°80%, 0.08 in2 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h86%100%0
Mon 3aRain50°10° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)46°8°80%, 0.08 in2 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h86%100%0
Mon 4aRain49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)45°7°80%, 0.08 in2 mm10 mph16 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph26 km/h87%100%0
Mon 5aCloudy49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)45°7°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h87%100%0
Mon 6aRain49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)45°7°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h87%94%0
Mon 7aRain49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)45°7°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm9 mph14 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h87%91%0
Mon 8aRain49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)46°8°70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm8 mph13 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h87%89%0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Fog. High 54°12°, low 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 47°8°

      80% chance · 0.59 in15 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. West wind 0 to 3 mph.

    Tonight: Rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 48 overnight. South southeast wind 0 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    52°11°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–45°7°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 55°13°, low 47°8°. Rain 1 in25 mm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 48°9°

      90% chance · 1.6 in41 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 54°12°

      90% chance · 0.98 in25 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 53°12°

      90% chance · 0.98 in25 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 49°9°

      80% chance · 0.45 in11 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 55. South wind 12 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Night: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 47. South southeast wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–57°14°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h, gusts 37 mph60 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 55°13°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 49°9°

      70% chance · 0.19 in4.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 58°14°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 50°10°

      40% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°10°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    54°12°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–51°11°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 55°13°, low 47°8°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 49°9°

      50% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      80% chance · 0.16 in4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

    Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    53°12°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–49°9°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 54°12°, low 46°8°. Rain 0.74 in19 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Showers, 49°9°

      80% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      80% chance · 0.19 in4.9 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 47°8°

      80% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      70% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    50°10°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–48°9°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 54°12°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.34 in8.6 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      60% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 44°6°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 54.

    Night: A slight chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    41°5°–47°8°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 50°10°

      40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 44°7°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 39°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    38°3°–44°7°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 42°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–44°7°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 47°8°

      20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    50°10°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–50°10°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 51°10°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 59°15°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    51°11°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–48°9°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    3

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 54°, low 45°.

  2. Tomorrow

    89% chance of rain, high 55°, low 47°.

  3. Monday

    71% chance of rain, high 55°, low 46°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 51–57°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PQR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Nehalem River near Foss

8.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.5 ft
Flow
90 cfs

Forecast peak 2.0 ft Mon 5 AM

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Wilson River near Tillamook

20 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.5 ft
Flow
57 cfs

Forecast peak 3.6 ft Sun 11 AM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Trask River near Tillamook

22 mi
Below flood stage
Level
5.5 ft
Flow
70 cfs

Forecast peak 5.6 ft Sun 5 PM

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

Nehalem River at Nehalem

2.3 mi
Level
1.9 ft

Reading from Sat 7:10 AM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:44 AM, sunset 6:14 PM.

Daylight
10 h 30 min
Losing 2 min 58 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 49 min less
Golden hour
5:32–6:33 PM
Morning 7:26–8:26 AM
Blue hour
6:33–6:44 PM
Morning 7:14–7:26 AM; first light 7:14 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 88% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 6:02 AM · rises 5:15 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking west from Manzanita. Open water to the horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.