Observed 2:40 PM PDT at KMFR

Merlin, OR weather

Sunny and 63°17°, 15°8° warmer than a typical Oct 24, jacket by 9 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph7 km/h; From the west-southwest. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 30°−1°; Dry · up to 39°4° by 12 AM (comfortable)
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 3 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 19Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.06 inHg1018 hPa; Falling · −0.09 inHg−3.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 70°21° today at 5 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Low 41°5° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM
Rain tomorrow from 5 PM (80%, 1.3 in32 mm)

This afternoonUp to 70°21° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 43°6° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 67°19° by 4 PM · Rain 5–6 PM (30%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by 4 AM · Rain all night (80%)
Monday morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · Rain all morning (70%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	30%	28%	3
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	27%	50%	2
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	26%	62%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 62°17° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	22%	57%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 57°14° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	28%	70%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	62°17° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	38%	68%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	47%	73%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	52%	74%	0
Sat 10p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	59%	76%	0
Sat 11p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	63%	78%	0
Sun 12a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	66%	80%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	68%	80%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	71%	80%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	76%	79%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	82%	80%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WNW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	89%	80%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	79%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	79%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	79%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	81%	0
Sun 10a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	59%	82%	1
Sun 11a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	51%	81%	2
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	41%	3
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	40%	44%	3
Sun 2p	Mostly cloudy	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	38%	43%	3
Sun 3p	Mostly cloudy	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	40%	36%	3
Sun 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SSW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	40%	31%	2
Sun 5p	Rain	65°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	65°18°	30%, 0.04 in1 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	41%	65%	1
Sun 6p	Rain	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	63°17°	40%, 0.04 in1 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	46%	65%	0
Sun 7p	Rain	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	30%, 0.04 in1 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	57%	66%	0
Sun 8p	Rain	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	66%	78%	0
Sun 9p	Rain	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	52°11°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	97%	0
Sun 10p	Rain	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	88%	0
Sun 11p	Rain	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	83%	83%	0
Mon 12a	Rain	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	47°8°	80%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	86%	53%	0
Mon 1a	Rain	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	47°8°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	96%	0
Mon 2a	Drizzle	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	75%	0
Mon 3a	Rain	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	44°7°	60%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	71%	0
Mon 4a	Rain	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	50%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	64%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	93%	88%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	82%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	41°5°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	91%	0
Mon 8a	Rain	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	96%	73%	0
Mon 9a	Rain	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	49%	0
Mon 10a	Rain	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	45°7°	70%, 0.08 in2 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	64%	0
Mon 11a	Rain	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	48°9°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	65%	0
Mon 12p	Rain	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	52°11°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	72%	0
Mon 1p	Rain	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	53°12°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	88%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 55°13° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 70. South southeast wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 41, with temperatures rising to around 43 overnight. North northeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
31°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 41°5°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 68°20°, low 43°6°. Typical 54°12° / 41°5°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 67°19°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 54°12°
  80% chance · 0.27 in6.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 46°8°
  80% chance · 0.43 in11 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain after 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 2 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 41°5°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 57°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 54°12° / 41°5°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 44°7°
  70% chance · 0.44 in11 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–59°15°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 41°5°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 62°17°, low 36°2°. Typical 54°12° / 40°4°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain before 7am, then a chance of rain and patchy fog between 7am and 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
36°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
3
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 33°1°. Typical 53°12° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 62°17°).
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–42°6°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 40°4°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 58°14°, low 30°−1°. Typical 53°12° / 40°4°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 38°3°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: A slight chance of rain after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
30°−1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 40°4°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 59°15°, low 30°−1°. Typical 52°11° / 40°4°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Low, likely
30°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 32°0°. Typical 52°11° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–61°16°
Low, likely
27°−3°–36°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 39°4°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 32°0°. Typical 52°11° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 32°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–65°18°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
52°11° / 39°4°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 51°11° / 39°4°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–66°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
51°11° / 39°4°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 70°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 43°.
Monday
73% chance of rain, high 57°, low 41°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 54–62°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MFR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Rogue River at Grants Pass

8.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.0 ft
Flow: 1,150 cfs

Forecast peak 1.1 ft Mon 5 PM

Reading from Sat 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Applegate River near Wilderville

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.1 ft
Flow: 160 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Mon 11 AM

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Cow Creek at Glendale

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft
Flow: 29 cfs

Forecast peak 1.5 ft Sun 11 PM

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

Illinois River near Kerby

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.7 ft
Flow: 35 cfs

Forecast peak 0.9 ft Mon 5 AM

Reading from Sat 1:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 81% less heating than a typical week.

This week 24Typical 126

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 15
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 30°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Sexton Summit · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1948–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+11°+6°WedOct 21
−4°−2°ThuOct 22
−9°−5°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Merlin weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 40 min; Losing 2 min 39 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 36 min less
Golden hour: 5:38–6:35 PM; Morning 7:20–8:16 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:46 PM; Morning 7:08–7:20 AM; first light 7:08 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 77% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:57 AM · rises 5:18 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking south from Merlin. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,900 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Merlin, OR weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Rogue River at Grants Pass

Applegate River near Wilderville

Cow Creek at Glendale

Illinois River near Kerby

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon