Bear Creek at Medford
4.3 mi- Level
- 2.5 ft
- Flow
- 19 cfs
Forecast peak 2.7 ft Wed 4 AM
Reading from Sun 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Observed 12:10 PM PDT at KMFR
Sunny and 48°9°, rain ~11 PM–1 AM (89%).
Today: low 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°), high 68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°).
Now 48°9°
Sunny
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1p | Cloudy | 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°) | 62°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 44% | 86% | 2 |
| Sun 2p | Cloudy | 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°) | 63°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 41% | 88% | 2 |
| Sun 3p | Cloudy | 66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 39% | 87% | 2 |
| Sun 4p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 37% | 83% | 1 |
| Sun 5p | Cloudy | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 35% | 79% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 63°17° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 40% | 12% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 47% | 14% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 5% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 51% | 18% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 47°8° | 20% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 55% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Rain | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 46°8° | 30% | 8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 59% | 64% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Rain | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 70%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 62% | 83% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Rain | 48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 46°8° | 90%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 71% | 91% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Rain | 47°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 45°7° | 60%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 78% | 97% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Rain | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°) | 44°7° | 30%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 85% | 97% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Rain | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 44°7° | 30%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 89% | 89% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Cloudy | 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 30%, 0.12 in3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 91% | 69% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°) | 40°4° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 95% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Cloudy | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 39°4° | 50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 99% | 89% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Cloudy | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°) | 37°3° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 80% | 0 |
| Mon 9a | Cloudy | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 88% | 0 |
| Mon 10a | Rain | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°) | 45°7° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 63% | 0 |
| Mon 11a | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 48°9° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 93% | 72% | 1 |
| Mon 12p | Rain | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 48°9° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 90% | 67% | 2 |
| Mon 1p | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 85% | 79% | 4 |
| Mon 2p | Cloudy | 53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 81% | 83% | 3 |
| Mon 3p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 76% | 67% | 2 |
| Mon 4p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 20%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 74% | 89% | 1 |
| Mon 5p | Mostly cloudy | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 68% | 80% | 1 |
| Mon 6p | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 70% | 84% | 0 |
| Mon 7p | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 76% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 8p | Cloudy | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 77% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 9p | Partly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 79% | 66% | 0 |
| Mon 10p | Partly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 80% | 56% | 0 |
| Mon 11p | Partly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 79% | 60% | 0 |
| Tue 12a | Mostly clear | 46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 81% | 43% | 0 |
| Tue 1a | Mostly cloudy | 46°8° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 82% | 29% | 0 |
| Tue 2a | Partly cloudy | 45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 83% | 54% | 0 |
| Tue 3a | Mostly cloudy | 44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 86% | 57% | 0 |
| Tue 4a | Cloudy | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 43°6° | 20% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 88% | 63% | 0 |
| Tue 5a | Rain | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 91% | 70% | 0 |
| Tue 6a | Cloudy | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°) | 40°4° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 95% | 91% | 0 |
| Tue 7a | Partly cloudy | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 98% | 74% | 0 |
| Tue 8a | Partly sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 77% | 0 |
| Tue 9a | Rain | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°) | 42°6° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 99% | 94% | 0 |
| Tue 10a | Rain | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°) | 45°7° | 30% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 97% | 77% | 1 |
| Tue 11a | Rain | 49°9° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 49°9° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 93% | 73% | 2 |
| Tue 12p | Rain | 50°10° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°) | 50°10° | 30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm | 1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 90% | 68% | 3 |
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
70% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
90% chance · 0.61 in15 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. North northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Tonight: Rain after 9pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 40, with temperatures rising to around 43 overnight. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 68°20°).
Morning
6 AM–noon
50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
30% chance
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain before 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 56. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of rain after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South southeast wind 1 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain before 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. North northwest wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
Night: A slight chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.
Night: A chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain. Mostly sunny, with a high near 54.
Night: A slight chance of rain before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Dry, high 68°, low 40°.
50% chance of rain, high 56°, low 38°, cooling off.
31% chance of rain, high 55°, low 37°.
Mostly dry, highs 52–58°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MFR) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Forecast peak 2.7 ft Wed 4 AM
Reading from Sun 11:15 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 0.8 ft Mon 5 PM
Reading from Sun 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 1.1 ft Wed 4 AM
Reading from Sun 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Forecast peak 3.0 ft Mon 11 AM
Reading from Sun 11:30 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
About 68% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 8 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).
Today, 2:00 PM–6:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Today’s expected high is 3°2° warmer than typical.
On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).
Phoenix weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 7:36 AM, sunset 6:13 PM.
Mostly clear 6:42–10 PM, but the moon is 100% lit and up.
Full moon
100% lit · growing