Observed 4:55 PM EDT at KHGR

Carroll Valley, PA weather

Sunny and 61°16°, jacket by 7 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south-southwest. Light through 5 AM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow: 4Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 4
Air quality: 33Good; Ozone · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.5 inHg1033 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 38°3° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 10 AM

TonightDown to 39°4° by 2 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 63°17° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 3 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonUp to 67°19° by 3 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	42%	0%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	86%	1%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	68%	2%	2
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	61%	8%	3
Sun 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	10%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	51%	28%	4
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	20%	4
Sun 3p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	6%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	4%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	51%	3%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	11%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	8%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	13%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	7%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	0%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	69%	0%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	62%	0%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	1%	4
Mon 2p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	52%	1%	4
Mon 3p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	2%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	0%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 38. South wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–60°16°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 40°4°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind around 2 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 62°17° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–68°20°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–49°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 39°4°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 61°16° / 39°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 39°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 50°10°. Typical 61°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
72°22°–73°23°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 38°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–71°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 60°16° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  30% chance · 0.16 in3.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–68°20°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Nov 2. Showers. High 68°20°, low 58°14°. Typical 60°16° / 37°3°. Rain 0.88 in22 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  20% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  30% chance · 0.69 in17 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–72°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–63°17°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 37°3°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 41°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–73°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (CTP) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Conococheague Creek at Fairview

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 161 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Monocacy River near Frederick at Interstate 70

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 173 cfs

Forecast peak 1.7 ft Sat 8 PM

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Monocacy River at Bridgeport

9.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.4 ft
Flow: 18 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Antietam Creek near Waynesboro

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 27 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 32Typical 101

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 17 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Emmitsburg 2 SE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1956–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−10°−6°SunOct 18
−7°−4°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
−5°−3°WedOct 21
−4°−2°ThuOct 22
−8°−4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carroll Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 48 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 27 min less
Golden hour: 5:40–6:34 PM; Morning 7:12–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 6:34–6:45 PM; Morning 7:01–7:12 AM; first light 7:01 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:45 PM–7:02 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:41 AM · rises 5:14 PM
Full moon: Oct 26
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Carroll Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 1,700 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Carroll Valley, PA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Conococheague Creek at Fairview

Monocacy River near Frederick at Interstate 70

Monocacy River at Bridgeport

Antietam Creek near Waynesboro

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon